Saturday, November 8, 2025
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Saturday, November 8, 2025

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The Sunday Read: Why is national media not digging deeper into voting issues?

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(The Center Square) – So here it is nearly two weeks past Election Day and the 2020 presidential race remains undetermined.

I think that was somewhat foreseeable. Despite the polls, which were again wildly off and may ultimately be the end of the polling industry, most people I have spoken with about the election over the past year thought this would be a close race no matter who ran against incumbent Republican Donald Trump.

Only people who bought the baloney on the polls believed that the Democrats would roll in a landslide. And any Republican voter who thought that Trump was on easy street against a candidate such as former Vice President Joe Biden, who in three previous tries never generated any electricity among the voting populace, was equally as misguided.

Nearly 150 million votes have been tabulated, and the results continue trickling in. We already have seen more votes cast in this election than any other election in U.S. history – and by a wide margin. Voting, despite COVID-19, and against any past precedent, exploded.

That’s great for democracy, if the votes are legitimate. And that remains a point of question that we all should be asking, not only those who voted for Trump. The validity of an election, succinctly, is the election.

So amid what feels to so many Americans as an unwillingness to explore election protocols and integrity by all of the national television networks, metropolitan newspapers and amplified in endless hours of cable-news opining, we should be willing to do what’s uncomfortable and dig deeper.

If Biden ultimately is declared the winner of an election with inherent voting and vote-tabulation problems, it’s not a win for the country. And if there remains any doubt that he won fairly against Trump, I fear the ramifications of such a victory will prompt more unrest in a nation whose wounds from the mostly peaceful protests that ended in shootings, fires and damage to public and private property will persist or worsen.

Can you imagine what the backlash in this country would look like if the other side rose up like the protesters did over the past several months? Do we want that? Are we all looking for something that edges toward widespread civil unrest in the United States? I don’t even want to think about it, to be candid. But we all must. And the media has to play its part.

It is with that in mind that I struggle with national media outlets attempting to put the election aside and simply carrying on without digging deeper into the vote itself and the methodology of vote tabulation. It would seem reasonable that a truly centrist media company would be digging now – whether they serve millions of viewers via broadcast or hundreds of readers through their weekly deadwood editions.

The push for such inspection and consideration just isn’t there. It is not widespread in media. In fact, it absolutely feels as if a contradictory sentiment among media has settled on this issue. It feels as if newsrooms that have the capacity to invest resources in deeper scrutiny of the elections are writing stories and broadcasting segments on how the vote was all good – that there is nothing to see here. That is such an odd posture for media coverage of anything, let alone a presidential election. I get it, a lot of people despise Trump. But that shouldn’t matter. And, again, nearly half of the 150 million voters will view the outcome of this election as consequential simply because the Democrat and Republican platforms are so widely varying and the ramifications of either party winning so deeply impactful.

We are still weeks away from certification of the votes, and votes continue to be counted or, in the case of Georgia, recounted by hand.

By law, an election isn’t over until it’s certified. We saw this in 2000, when Republican George W. Bush defeated then former Vice President Al Gore in a painfully examined race that came down to dimpled and hanging chads in Florida some 34 days after the election.

The Associated Press or any of the other big media companies can “call” a race – any race, really. And the others may follow, independently or in unison with The AP. But the election isn’t finished until it’s certified. That is something that all Americans deserve, and – although an arduous and challenging task for newsrooms whose numbers have dwindled as a consequence of brutal shifts in media revenues – that our news providers should be committed to providing.

I only can speak for our news operation, The Center Square, but rest assured that this story matters to us. We consider it open and ongoing, and deserving of daily coverage.

And it should matter to far more media companies than the scant few who are openly interested in seeking the clearest truth in the outcome of the deepest presidential election in our nation’s 244-year history.

* * * *

Elsewhere across the country, The Center Square’s reporting included:

NATIONAL

The Center Square reported that Dominion Voting Systems, which has been used in multiple states where fraud has been alleged in the 2020 U.S. Election, was rejected three times by data communications experts from the Texas Secretary of State and Attorney General’s Office for failing to meet basic security standards. Unlike Texas, other states certified the use of the system, including in Pennsylvania, where voter fraud has been alleged on multiple counts.

ILLINOIS

Illinois’ finances are in a perilous position, as they’ve been for decades. Revenue is shrinking due to the pandemic, a federal package of untethered aid remains uncertain, the state’s lines of credit are becoming increasingly expensive as it teeters on junk bond status, and Gov. J.B. Pritzker’s ballot initiative that would have allowed lawmakers to hike taxes on higher-earners was soundly defeated. In light of all of the fiscal pressures, experts say the state is no closer to amending one of its largest expenses – pension liability – than it was before the pain of 2020 began.

A credit rating agency suggested Illinois lawmakers could make taxpayers pay more to shore up its budget, a mantra a Republican state lawmaker said is tiring. Voters in Illinois and many other states rejected tax increases, but a $6 billion budget deficit still needs to be addressed. “Budget cuts are likely,” Fitch said, “but the state may also raise revenues, such as choosing to increase the flat income tax rate.”

MICHIGAN

Michigan House Speaker Lee Chatfield, R-Levering, said lawmakers will hold hearings to look into election fraud claims in the 2020 presidential election. Questions followed after a software glitch initially gave roughly 5,000 votes cast for President Donald Trump to former Vice President Joe Biden in Antrim County, sparking a manual recount. Other Michigan counties used the same software.

As of Friday afternoon, Republican U.S Senate candidate John James hasn’t conceded his race to incumbent Democrat Gary Peters. Peters garnered 49.8% of the vote, or 2.72 million, to James’ 48.3%, or 2.63 million votes. Despite several news outlets declaring Peters the winner on Wednesday, James released a Thursday statement saying, “while Senator Peters is currently ahead, I have deep concerns that millions of Michiganders may have been disenfranchised by a dishonest few who cheat.”

OHIO

Republican lawmakers in Ohio brought forward legislation aimed at curbing looting, damage caused by riots and attacks on the police. Rep. Cindy Abrams, R-Harrison, a former law enforcement officer, said “Over the summer, we saw peaceful protests and then we saw rioting, vandalism and looting. … The disrespect right now, it is devastating to the uniformed police officers.” The proposed legislation would increase the felony grade for rioting, looting and vandalism to private property, and would increase penalties for damage to public property. It also would allow a police officer assaulted during a riot to sue those responsible, including event organizers.

PENNSYLVANIA

For months leading up to Election Day, Pennsylvania Democratic Gov. Tom Wolf and the Republican lawmakers who control the state Legislature sparred over allowing “pre-canvassing” of mailed-in ballots. Both sides were inclined to allow some amount of pre-canvassing, but they never managed to agree on the parameters, and thus ballots received weeks in advance remained untouched until Election Day. But as Pennsylvania’s vote counting has dragged on for more than a week and a half, it raises the question of whether pre-canvassing would’ve made enough of a difference, or whether there are other structural problems in the state’s vote counting system that meant a lengthy ballot count was inevitable.

NEW YORK

Back in the spring, in the early days of the pandemic in New York, Gov. Andrew Cuomo spoke of economic activity in the state as a spigot that he would open or close depending on how serious the coronavirus became. Ultimately, he chose to turn it all the way off before gradually reopening the state in the summer. Now, in light of statistics showing that cases are rising again – though nowhere nearly as quickly as they did in March – Cuomo is once again exercising his authority to rein in the state’s economic activity, this time by imposing limits on gatherings and restaurant hours.

MINNESOTA

Gov. Tim Walz authorized state assistance for Hennepin County to help rebuild public infrastructure damaged by rioters in May. That will cost state taxpayers $11.7 million – 70% of the $16.5 million disaster relief fund. The Minnesota Department of Public Safety’s damage assessment verified more than $15 million in eligible fire-related damages. The Federal Emergency Management Agency has twice denied Walz’s federal disaster request.

The Minneapolis City Council voted 7-6 to advance a measure to temporarily hire between 20 and 40 additional officers from the Hennepin County Sheriff’s Office and Metro Transit Police to respond to violent 911 calls. Five months ago, the Council vowed to “dismantle” their police department in the wake of the death of George Floyd while in police custody. The reversal follows a record number of homicides in 2020. The city has tallied roughly 74 homicides in the first 10-plus months of 2020, outpacing 48 in 2019. Nearly 500 people have been shot this year while 100 officers have left the department to date in 2020, more than double the typical average.

WISCONSIN

The Republicans who control the legislature in Wisconsin say they want answers about what happened on Election Day. Assembly Speaker Robin Vos. R-Rochester, said election “irregularities” will be investigated across the state. “With concerns surfacing about mail-in ballot dumps and voter fraud, Wisconsin citizens deserve to know their vote counted,” Vos said. The questions come after Milwaukee delivered more than 100,000 votes to swing Wisconsin toward Joe Biden. A similar swing happened in 2018 and gave the state to Gov. Tony Evers.

Gov. Evers will finally move on his plan to name businesses that have seen coronavirus positives. The governor has toyed with the idea of naming names as part of an effort to slow the spread of COVID-19. But he has not followed through, mainly because a judge has stopped him. The National Federation of Independent Businesses in Wisconsin is hoping he never gets to follow through. The NFIB has filed an amicus brief in the court challenge to the governor’s idea of outing businesses.

ARIZONA

In Maricopa County, our reporter sat in on President Trump’s legal challenge to what they said were “thousands” of potentially uncounted ballots. The claim was minimized by testimony from Scott Jarrett, Maricopa County’s Director of Election Day and Emergency Voting, who said they had so far found 190 recorded overvotes. Trump continues to trail Democrat Joe Biden by more than 10,000 votes. Shortly after the hearing ended, more media outlets began to call Arizona for Biden.

GEORGIA

Public pressure on the speed and methodology of vote tabulation in Georgia prompted the state’s Secretary of State to order a hand recount of votes in the presidential race. The recount commenced with former Vice President Joe Biden holding a lead of just over 14,000 votes in a state that saw nearly 5 million votes for president cast. This story is ongoing, and The Center Square will continue to cover the recount.

TENNESSEE

The Center Square was one of two publications to report on Knoxville flight attendant Annlee Post’s federal lawsuit against Transport Workers Union of America Local 577. Post’s lawsuit claims the union violated her civil and constitutional rights when it forced her to pay union dues after she objected on religious grounds. After an investigation by the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission was unable to resolve the matter, Post filed the federal lawsuit, claiming TWU violated her First Amendment and civil rights, as well as her rights as an employee under the Railway Labor Act.

NORTH CAROLINA

An effort in the city of Asheville to award reparations for slavery to Black residents stalled last week after the mayor abruptly suspended discussion on the plan before a city council meeting, sparking backlash from residents and a supporting city council member. The Asheville City Council was supposed to vote on a resolution that would have set aside $1 million for reparations for Black residents, but Mayor Esther Manheimer removed the item from the agenda after a request by most of the city council, which plans to schedule a work session with newly elected council members to review the plan before moving forward.

LOUISIANA

The Bayou State is only one quarter into its 2021 fiscal year, and already the state’s Legislative Auditor is pointing to questionable spending totaling nearly $31 million of revenue from taxpayers. The Center Square reported that Gov. John Bel Edwards’ office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness was responsible for about $24 million of that spend alone. Of that, $15 million came in the form of expense reimbursements that were not backed up by the proper documentation. Other spending in the quarter that is alleged to be outside of the state’s fiscal management practices included spending almost $2.9 million on out-of-scope projects and more than $3.4 million in contracts and purchases that did not comply with state or federal rules and the compensation of $2.4 million in work that was out of compliance with federal regulations.

COLORADO

Colorado voters decided on five tax or fee-related measures in Tuesday’s election. Voters approved Proposition 116, which will reduce the state income tax from 4.63% to 4.55%, and Amendment B, which repeals the Gallagher Amendment and sets residential property tax assessment rates at 7.15%. Voters also approved a tax increase on tobacco and nicotine products, a paid family leave program, and a measure requiring voter approval for new fee-based state enterprises.

OREGON

Oregon lawmakers could be headed to Salem for a third round of legislative action as early as Monday, Nov. 23, a state official revealed during a Portland City Council work session this week. Lawmakers would likely tackle rent assistance, mortgage interest deduction, and reforming qualified immunity for police officers, among other issues. The state’s two previous special sessions saw lawmakers debate a range of bills that addressed use of force by police, unemployment benefit reform, and the state’s budget.

NEVADA

The Security, Police and Fire Professionals of America union will pay thousands of dollars in dues refunds to 24 security guards in Nevada who filed a claim with the federal Labor Relations Board. Las Vegas security guard Justin Stephens and roughly two-dozen coworkers won a settlement against the SPFPA, after they filed a complaint with free legal aid from the National Right to Work Legal Defense Foundation (NRWLF). The guards allege the union took dues from their paychecks and refused to accept their request to resign from the union within the allotted time period, actions their attorneys argued violate provisions of the National Labor Relations Board Act.

TEXAS

A Mexia social worker, Kelly Reagan Brunner, who worked at a State Supported Living Center (SSLC), was charged with 134 felony counts “of purportedly acting as an agent of election fraud,” Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton’s Office announced. SSLCs serve people who have intellectual and developmental disabilities. Brunner was charged with submitting voter registration applications on behalf of 67 residents without their signature or effective consent, while purporting to act as their agent, the AG’s office said.

Chris Krug is publisher of The Center Square. Executive Editor Dan McCaleb, and regional editors Derek Draplin, Dave Lemery, Brett Rowland, Jason Schaumburg and Bruce Walker contributed to the column.

By Chris Krug | The Center Square
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Reposted with permission

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Poll: Voters Have a Lack of Name Recognition of Wisconsin Governor Candidates

(The Center Square) – Most voers in Wisconsin haven’t decided who they support to be the state’s next governor, according to a new Marquette Law School poll.

The poll showed that 81% of Democrats and 70% of Republicans have not made their choice in a crowded field to replace Gov. Tony Evers in the Aug. 11, 2026, primary. The general election is Nov. 3, 2026.

Those polled were asked which candidates they knew about with 39% saying they recognize and have an opinion of Rep. Tom Tiffany while 17% recognize Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann and 11% recognize medical service technician Andy Manske.

Of the Democrats Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley has the highest recognition at 26%,with Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 25%, State Rep. Francesca Hong at 22%, state Sen. Kelda Roys at 17%, former Wisconsin Economic Development Corp. CEO Missy Hughes at 16%; former state Rep. Brett Hulsey at 15% and Milwaukee beer vendor Ryan Strnad at 11%.

The poll asked 846 registered voters the questions between Oct. 15-22.

The poll had similar responses related to supreme court candidates Maria Lazar and Chris Taylor, with 86% saying they don’t have enough information on Lazar and 84% saying the same about Taylor while 69% of those polled said they did not have enough information on what each candidate stands for.

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‘Outrageous’: Lawmakers Trash Biden Administration for Targeting, Surveilling 156 Republicans

(The Center Square) – The Biden administration’s probe into President Donald Trump’s 2020 election loss progressed far beyond investigating potential fraud and potentially targeted 156 conservatives and conservative organizations.

Whistleblower-sourced records, made public Wednesday by Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, show that the Arctic Frost probe, pushed by Biden administration special counsel Jack Smith, conducted extensive and legally dubious investigations into Trump-supporting Republicans nationwide.

Smith, the FBI, and the Department of Justice spent thousands of taxpayer dollars to collect personal cellular phone data, conduct dozens of interviews, and issue 197 subpoenas to 34 individuals and 163 businesses.

“Arctic Frost was the vehicle by which FBI agents and DOJ prosecutors could improperly investigate the entire Republican political apparatus. Contrary to what Smith has said publicly, this was clearly a fishing expedition,” Grassley told reporters Wednesday.

“If this had happened to Democrats, they’d be as rightly outraged as we are outraged,” he added. “We’re making these records public in the interest of transparency and so that the American people can draw their own conclusions.”

The records reveal some of the targets on page 60, including multiple state Republican party chairs or former chairs; many state lawmakers and attorneys; individuals believed at the time to be “fake electors;” and conservatives involved in election integrity efforts.

Records of additional individuals and organizations targeted, beginning on page 101, list everyone from Trump campaign staffers to former senior White House advisor Stephen Miller and White House Deputy Chief of Staff Dan Scavino. The list spans multiple states and includes some significant redactions.

The Arctic Frost team also collected phone records of at least nine Republican senators without notifying them, and attempted but failed to collect phone data on others.

Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., called the records “nothing short of a Biden administration enemies list” and deemed it “far worse, orders of magnitude worse” than the Watergate scandal of the Nixon administration.

“People need to realize how politicized the Biden administration turned all these agencies,” Johnson said. “It’s outrageous, it should shock every American…we need to get to the bottom of this…so that this doesn’t happen again in America.”

The revelations build on previous documents showing that the Biden administration targeted 92 conservative groups, including the Republican National Committee; Republican Attorneys General Association; the America First Policy Institute; and Turning Point USA, the organization previously headed by political commentator Charlie Kirk, who was fatally shot in September.

In a Truth Social post Wednesday, Trump called the investigators a “disgrace to humanity.”

“These thugs should all be investigated and put in prison,” he said. “Deranged Jack Smith is a criminal!!!”

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Poll: Wisconsin Voters Prepared to Vote Against Public School Referenda

(The Center Square) – For the first time in the past 10 years of polling, more Wisconsin voters said they would vote against a school referendum than for it.

Fifty-seven percent of voters said they would vote against a referendum in the new Marquette Law School poll.

That compares to 52% in June, 57% in February and 55% in January saying they would vote for a school referendum if it was proposed by a local school board.

The poll asked 846 registered voters the questions between Oct. 15-22.

“This is one to keep an eye on to see if this trend continues or it’s just a fluke of this sample,” Law School Poll Director Charles Franklin said.

The poll also showed that 56% said they believe reducing property taxes is more important than increasing spending on public schools.

That compared to 57% in June, 58% in February and 55% in January who said the same.

Historical Marquette polling showed that 50% first said they would prioritize reducing property taxes in June 2023 after years of polling showing that spending more on public schools was more important to voters.

That total has trended up since the 2023 polling.

“People have gotten more concerned about school spending and property taxes in particular,” Franklin said.

The polling comes after Milwaukee voters said they would prefer consolidating schools over another property tax referendum increase when Embold Research asked 535 likely Milwaukee voters in 2026 the questions between Oct. 6-10 on behalf of City Forward Collective and CFC Action Fund.

Legislators are currently discussing a bill that would require districts to file the required paperwork before being eligible for a referendum.

There also are a set of bills in the works on school consolidation.

Public school enrollment in Wisconsin is expected to decline by 10,000 students annually for the five-year period that began in 2023-24 and the trend is expected to continue.

The bill would provide a consolidation model process, funding for consolidation or shared service feasibility studies and assistance for schools as they try to match up differing levies and determine school board positions when consolidation occurs.

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Wisconsin Lawmakers Propose Legalizing Mobile Sports Wagering

(The Center Square) – A group of Wisconsin lawmakers are proposing a law that would allow mobile sports wagering across the state through the state’s current tribal operators.

The law would allow for a similar sports wagering model as Florida where the state’s sportsbook operators have servers on federally recognized tribal lands while users can be in the state of Wisconsin.

The proposal cites the U.S. Supreme Court’s 2024 decision not to hear a challenge to the sports wagering pact between Florida and the Seminole tribe of the hub-and-spoke sports wagering model.

Legal sports wagering is currently only allowed on tribal lands in Wisconsin while prediction markets such as Kalshi are now legal across the U.S.

The Ho-Chunk Nation currently has a lawsuit filed against Kalshi for operating in the state.

The bill is being proposed by Reps. Tyler August, R-Walworth, and Kalan Haywood, D-Milwaukee, along with Sens. Howard Marklein, R-Spring Green, and Kristin Dassler-Alfheim, D-Appleton.

“This legislation is an important step to bring Wisconsin in alignment with the majority of the country in regards to sports wagering," Haywood said in a statement. "For too long, illegal, offshore entities have profited from consumers through unregulated sports wagering, without generating revenue for local economies.

"By regulating this multi-billion-dollar industry, we can provide a safer mobile wagering experience for Wisconsin consumers, and generate much needed revenue to invest into our communities.”

Wisconsin receives payments that are a portion of the net win from tribal casinos but does not separately reports sports wagering payments.

In 2024, the state received more than $66 million in shared revenue payments with nearly $66 million in 2023 and nearly $57 million in 2022.

Sports wagering is legal in 39 states with 31 allowing mobile sports wagering.

Sponsors sent out the proposed legislation to fellow lawmakers this week asking for co-sponsors before Oct. 22.

“This bill does not authorize gambling on its own; it only is one part in a multi-step process to create the legal framework necessary for Wisconsin to participate in mobile sports wagering under tribal compacts,” the proposal said. “Gaming compacts between states and tribes need to be federally approved by the U.S. Department of Interior before going into effect.”

Making a sports bet in the state is currently a misdemeanor offense and the bill would exclude from the legal term “bet” any mobile sports wager with an approved sportsbook with servers located on tribal lands.

The bill estimates it will bring hundreds of millions of illegal bets into legal sportsbooks in the state, stating the change “generates new revenue through tribal gaming compacts and reduces consumer risk from offshore operators.”

Jill Underly

Thursday Hearing Set on Sexual Misconduct, Grooming in Wisconsin Schools

(The Center Square) – A hearing is scheduled for 11 a.m. on Thursday to address concerns about sexual misconduct and grooming in schools.

Committee on Government Operations, Accountability and Operations Chair Rep. Amanda Nedweski, R-Pleasant Prairie, scheduled the hearing and invited State School Superintendent Jill Underly, along with law enforcement.

Nedweski announced Thursday night she would be introducing three bills related to the case including a grooming law, standards for communication between students and faculty and to end a "loophole" where educators can surrender their teaching license rather than facing further investigation.

She had previously been working on the grooming law and bill on communications standards after the case of Kenosha teacher Christian Enwright, who pleaded guilty to 12 misdemeanors for his conduct sending hundreds of Snapchat messages to a student that resulted in a sentence of 450 days in jail and three years of probation.

“Since the Kenosha County Eye exposed Christian Enwright’s predatory behavior toward a student, I have been working on anti-grooming legislation that will establish harsh penalties for any adult convicted of grooming a minor for sexual activity,” Nedweski said in a statement. “This proposal will be modeled after comprehensive laws passed in other states and will give our law enforcement and prosecutors the tools they need to keep children safe.”

Senate Committee on Education Chair John Jagler and Vice Chair Romaine Quinn asked a series of 12 questions of Underly and demanded to get a response within 24 hours of the Thursday afternoon letter on if she will be willing to testify before the committee.

The Senate committee leaders had not heard back from Underly or her office as of 11:30 a.m. on Friday.

The Capital Times report showed that 200 investigations into teachers for sexual misconduct and grooming were shielded from the public by DPI and that accused teachers were able to forfeit their teaching license to avoid further investigation into alleged grooming.

The Center Square was unable to get comment from Underly or Gov. Tony Evers before publication.

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Wisconsin School Choice Enrollment Hit New High, Worries Persist

(The Center Square) – Wisconsin’s latest enrollment numbers show some good news for choice schools in the state, but there’s also a warning sign.

School Choice Wisconsin said choice enrollment hit a new record high of 60,972 students.

“Parents are speaking loudly and clearly about what they want for their children: more educational options different than those offered by public schools,” School Choice Wisconsin Vice President Carol Shires said.

The nearly 61,000 choice students this year is up from less than 34,000 in the 2016-2017 school year.

And, Shires said, the new record-high comes just as Wisconsin’s choice school enrollment cap expires.

“Lawmakers in Madison should continue to prioritize protecting these private-school options for all students,” she said.

But there are also warnings about the limits of choice school enrollment growth.

Quinton Klabon with the Institute for Reforming Government said choice schools will soon face the same demographic challenges that traditional public schools are facing.

He said the “baby bust” from the 2008 recession has arrived, and all schools will see enrollments fall because there are simply fewer school-aged children.

“School choice supporters and opponents alike have projected rapid, continued growth, but new data suggest the programs are affected by declining birth rates, school participation, or parent choices,” IRG noted.

“School choice supporters cannot be complacent,” Klabon said. “Informing parents, expanding high-quality schools, and protecting schools from hostile red tape are high priorities. Otherwise, the baby bust will close choice schools.”

The new enrollment numbers show Milwaukee’s choice program added 235 students this year.

Racine’s school choice program lost 14 students, and the state’s special needs choice program gained 419. But it was the statewide school choice program that saw the largest enrollment increases. The Wisconsin Parental Choice Program added 1,814 students this fall.

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Sharp Decline in Trans-identifying Youth Between 2023 and 2025, Report Says

A sharp decline in Gen Z Americans identifying as transgender and queer has occurred, from 6.8% identifying as a gender other than male or female in 2023 compared to 3.6% stating so in 2025, according to a report.

The report’s author, professor of Politics Eric Kaufmann, told The Center Square he thinks this drop in transgender young people “signals one of the first shifts away from progressive non-conformity of lifestyle and self-expression in 60 years.”

Kaufmann told The Center Square: “I believe we could be at the start of a gradual change toward a more post-progressive society, somewhat more socially conservative – or at least not as socially radical.”

Kaufmann also said to The Center Square that “there are many” implications to his report.

“First, that social influences are an important factor in the rise and decline of trans, queer and bisexual identity among young people since the 2010s,” Kaufmann said.

“Second, that gender and sexual identity seems to operate relatively independently of politics and culture war attitudes among young people,” Kaufmann said.

For instance, in an X post on the subject, Kaufmann wrote that the shift in queer and trans identification is not actually due to the youth becoming “less woke, more religious or more conservative,” because “those beliefs remained stable throughout the 2020s.”

Kaufmann told The Center Square that his third and final listed point on the implications of his report was “that improving mental health is connected to this trend [of declining Gen Z transgenderism], though only partially.”

Better mental health certainly appears to play a part in the decline in trans and queer identifying young Americans, as “less anxious and, especially, depressed, students [are] linked with a smaller share identifying as trans, queer or bisexual,” Kaufmann wrote on X.

Kaufmann additionally noted to The Center Square that “it does not appear that these shifts are related to social media consumption patterns.”

Interestingly, as Kaufmann wrote on X, “freshmen in 2024-25 were less trans and queer than seniors whereas it was the reverse when BTQ+ identity was surging in 2022-23,” suggesting that “gender/sexual non-conformity will continue to fall.”

Policy director at family advocacy group American Principles Project Paul Dupont told The Center Square that the findings of Kaufmann’s report “should be seen as good news.”

“Adopting an identity at odds with one's biology is not healthy, so any report showing more people embracing their bodies rather than rejecting them is a positive development,” Dupont said.

“While it's too early to say with certainty, one hopes that this decline will make it easier to root out gender ideology from its remaining strongholds,” Dupont said.

“Many blue states and cities still allow men to access women's private spaces and sports,” Dupont said. “Many hospitals and clinics still perform gender transition procedures on minors. Many school districts still keep parents in the dark if their child is struggling with gender dysphoria.”

“All of these policies must be repealed wherever they are still in force, and having more members of Gen Z acknowledge biological reality will only help hasten that process,” Dupont said.

Dupont advised that “advocates for sanity should be cautious not to declare victory yet.”

“Although we are making progress, gender ideology remains entrenched in many powerful American institutions, and Democrats have refused to moderate one inch in response to their election loss last year,” Dupont said. “There is still a difficult road ahead.”

Much of the information going into Kaufmann’s report came from raw data found in the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression’s (FIRE) annual survey of college students – the College Free Speech Rankings Survey – with more than 60,000 polled in 2025.

As stated by Kaufmann in an article on his report, “just 3.6% of respondents [to FIRE’s survey] identified as a gender other than male or female,” in 2025.

“By comparison, the figure was 5.2% in 2024 and 6.8% in both 2022 and 2023,” Kaufmann wrote. “In other words, the share of trans-identified students has effectively halved in just two years.”

FIRE told The Center Square that its survey “looks at student attitudes for free expression and is conducted for that purpose.”

FIRE explained that “as a side effect of asking demographic questions of so many respondents (68,000 this year), one can glean trends in demographics as Prof Kauffman has done here.”

“We make our data available to the public for free on this page to encourage academics or members of the public to dive in and see what findings they're able to uncover beyond the analyses that we ourselves are able to run,” FIRE told The Center Square.

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