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State Senators Call for Investigation Into Green Bay Election

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We broke the story on the activities of Michael Spitzer-Rubenstein during the Green Bay election in November 2020.

Several prominent Republican state senators are calling for an investigation into the City of Green Bay’s handling of the November 2020 election, focusing in part on the activities of a liberal operative working for a group that partners with a Mark Zuckerberg-funded organization that gave massive election-related grants to five counties.

We broke the story on the activities of Michael Spitzer-Rubenstein in November 2020. You can see our earlier reporting later in this article.

We revealed then that Brown County’s elected County Clerk had expressed concern to the Wisconsin Election Commission on election day that the City of Green Bay’s Central Count process, where absentee ballots were counted, was “tainted.” The City of Green Bay has defended its election process.

Her email to the Commission, which Wisconsin Right Now exclusively obtained, focused on Spitzer-Rubenstein, who was working on election day in Brown County for a non-profit with high-profile Democrats on its board – including a member of the Kennedy family – and ties to the group that received the massive, controversial Zuckerberg-related grant received by the city. In an interview with Wisconsin Right Now, she and two Republican election observers also raised concern about the actions that night of Amaad Rivera-Wagner, a community liaison worker for the Democratic mayor of Green Bay who also was at Central Count.

Large grants funded in part by Facebook and Google sent operatives to Wisconsin to work on elections, and the Brown County activities took place against that larger backdrop. The City of Green Bay – and four other large cities in Wisconsin – received a large grant (more than $1 million in Green Bay’s case) from the Center for Tech and Civic Life. Opponents sued, saying the grants inequitably went only to Democratic strongholds but didn’t prevail in court.

The Green Bay mayor touted this grant before the election, saying that, in part, it would pay for “vote navigators” to get people to the polls who don’t normally vote. Google and Facebook are among the funders of the Center for Tech and Civic Life.

Green bay election
National vote at home institute partners

Spitzer-Rubenstein worked on election day for the National Vote at Home Institute, which lists as one of its partners The Center for Technology and Civic Life. In October 2020, Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg and his wife announced that they had made “a commitment to CTCL to increase funding by up to $100 million beyond the $250 million already committed to continue their work to provide officials with the staffing, training and equipment necessary to make sure that every voter can participate in a safe and timely way in the election.”

Claire Woodall-Vogg, Executive Director Milwaukee Election Commission, who briefly misplaced a key election flash drive during the election, is touted on the website of the National Vote at Home Institute.

On March 9, 2021, after a follow-up story on the issue by a conservative website, Senator Eric Wimberger (R-Green Bay) called for an investigation into Green Bay Mayor Eric Genrich and his staff.

“This report indicates extremely concerning behavior from Mayor Eric Genrich and his staff,” Wimberger wrote in a press release. “The City Clerk was pressured by a partisan actor, the National Vote at Home Institute, who the Mayor’s Chief of Staff actively assisted. A private citizen, not affiliated with the City of Green Bay, and not a Wisconsin resident, effectively became the chief elections officer for Green Bay during a presidential election. They were allowed direct access to absentee ballots, and directed how, where, and when ballots should be collected. This is inexcusable and action must be taken.”

Wimberger was reacting in part to the March 2021 publication of emails first obtained by state Rep. Shae Sortwell (R-Two Rivers). Those emails cast more light on Spitzer-Rubenstein’s election-related activities. “Can we help with curing absentee ballots that are missing a signature or witness signature address?” Spitzer-Rubenstein wrote to Green Bay city clerk, Kris Teske on Oct. 7.

He also wrote the clerk in an email, “We have a process map that we’ve worked out with Milwaukee for their process. We can also adapt the letter we’re sending out with rejected absentee ballots along with a call script alerting voters (We can also get people to make the calls, too, so you don’t need to worry about it.).”

The City of Green Bay defended its elections process in a lengthy letter posted to Facebook. You can read it here.

It says, in part, that Green Bay “conducted the election in accordance with state and federal laws, with our legal department vetting the decisions being made…the election was administered exclusively by city staff. As part of the $1.6 million election grant award, the City received technical assistance from experts in elections, security, public relations and analysis. They provided additional input and insight, but never had access to ballots, computers, storage, equipment or the like… No ballots were ever in the care of custody of these consultants.”

Wisconsin state senator Roger Roth (R-Appleton) called on Green Bay Mayor Genrich to resign, writing on Twitter, “@MayorGenrich ceded his responsibility to safeguard the integrity of our elections to an outside, partisan organization and I am calling on him to resign from office immediately.”

Sen. Alberta Darling also called for an investigation, writing, “Local political leaders took outside money and let partisan operatives take control of the election process in Green Bay.” Darling’s press release outlined the following claims:

A Democratic operative had access to absentee ballots and given keys to the central count area before November 3rd.
Outside operatives sought to assist in correcting absentee ballots returned to the city clerk’s office in Green Bay.
Outside Operatives may have assisted Milwaukee with rejected absentee ballots.
The Clerk’s office made local political leaders aware of the frustrations and possible violations but was largely ignored.
Despite these complaints from the Green Bay clerk, the outside operators were given more control over the election.
Brown County’s clerk said Green Bay went “rogue.”

However, Assembly member Kristina Shelton (D-Green Bay) defended the city’s handling of the election, writing in part, “The administration of the November Election by the City of Green Bay was seamless. Election officials, including the Mayor and his staff, should be commended by legislators for their commitment to democracy.”

This is what else we reported in November:

Both Rubenstein, who is from New York, and Rivera-Wagner have expressed strong Democratic partisanship and anti-Trump positions. Rubenstein once wrote about fighting back against the president’s “dangerous” plans. Rivera-Wagner is a Joe Biden delegate to the Democratic National Convention who once organized a resist Trump rally and refers to the “Trump trickle down of hate” and uses a #ResistTrump hashtag on social media.

Green bay election

Brown County Clerk Sandy Juno and the observers say Spitzer-Rubenstein and Rivera-Wagner were interacting with poll workers who were processing ballots on election night. Neither man was certified as an election inspector. An attorney for the Wisconsin Election Commission advised Juno that inspectors, not consultants, were supposed to be making decisions about ballots.

“I let them know I wasn’t very happy about it,” Juno told Wisconsin Right Now. “He (Spitzer-Rubenstein) was at Central Count participating in the election with some of the people at Central Count. That was a concern. What kind of put me off was the fact he had a printer and a laptop at a table in there, and he was walking around with a cell phone; that’s not the type of stuff that should have been allowable in the Central Count location.”

Green bay election

Rivera-Wagner is the community liaison to Green Bay Mayor Eric Genrich.  The mayor is a former Democratic Assemblyman who penned a letter to President Donald Trump urging him not to show “bigoted rhetoric” in Green Bay.

For her part, Juno is a Republican who has shared posts on social media that are anti Joe Biden and pro Donald Trump.

Green bay election

Green Bay is Wisconsin’s third-largest city and thus its vote totals played a critical role in helping former Vice President Joe Biden accrue a lead at the polls; President Donald Trump is contesting the Wisconsin outcome and seeking a recount. Trump won Brown County 53-45%. According to WBAY, counting continued until 4:20 a.m. on November 4 in Green Bay, which had more than 31,000 absentee ballots. Most City of Green Bay wards went for Biden.

Green bay election

“Amaad works in the mayor’s office, and he seemed to be running Central Count,” Juno said. “He seemed to be a central person when you went and signed in. He talked to you; he seemed to be advising the people working at the Central Count tables giving them instructions how to proceed. He seemed all over the place.” As for Spitzer-Rubenstein, she added, “They took outside funding from a private organization and then they had a person participating in election process as a worker from the outside organization. I had an issue with that happening.”

We reached out to Rivera-Wagner, Rubenstein, and the mayor of Green Bay but didn’t hear back. After we inquired about his involvement at Central Count, Rivera-Wagner privatized his tweets. That wasn’t before we reviewed them and found a history of fervent anti-Trump and pro-Biden advocacy. He also shared a post about meeting Hillary Clinton and included the hashtag #StillWithHer. When President Trump came to Green Bay, Rivera-Wagner took to Twitter to tout Joe Biden and former President Barack Obama.

Green bay election

Rivera-Wagner was a delegate to the Democratic National Convention. He helped organize a resist Trump rally in Massachusetts, where he worked for a Democratic U.S. Senator.

“We are going to be fighting for equal justice until we can get rid of Trump,” he said in a speech at an anti-fascist rally.

“I was a passionate Warren supporter who is enthusiastically supporting Biden,” he wrote in his bid to be a Biden delegate. “I know that Wisconsin and the rest of the country needs us to defeat this POTUS in November and reset the positive power of the White House for everyone in this country. Winning is just the first part, as we work together to reshape what is possible and recreate new opportunities for our communities to thrive in the 21st century.”

On Facebook, Spitzer-Rubenstein has tweeted pictures of Black Lives Matter protests. He shared a story from Time Magazine headlined “meet the woman behind the push for mail-in voting” and indicated, “proud to be supporting Wisconsin election officials” with Vote at Home.

Green bay election

On Nov. 4, he wrote, “Joe Biden looks like he won but progressives need to rethink strategy to win the Senate and Electoral College (or figure out how to make America more democratic.)” He shared a photo with New York Mayor Bill de Blasio.

Green bay election

Shortly after the 2016 presidential election, he wrote, “I’ll have more to say soon (once I dry my eyes) but this is just the beginning. Things aren’t going to get better unless we get organized and all work together to stop every dangerous plan Trump tries to make happen. This isn’t a time to be conciliatory. It’s time to fight back.”

The mayor touted a live stream of Central Count activities on his Twitter page. However, as of November 10, it was still not available.

On LinkedIn, Spitzer-Rubenstein defines himself as “Wisconsin State Lead (Leadership Now Fellow) at National Vote at Home Institute.” That Institute’s website says it “works to remove legislative and administrative barriers to vote-at-home systems and educate the public on the benefits of voting at home.” Its board of directors includes Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, the former Democratic lieutenant governor of Maryland who is a member of the Kennedy clan; the former Democratic secretary of state of Oregon Phil Keisling; and former Democratic Michigan Governor Jennifer Granholm. The group says its “state leads,” including Spitzer-Rubenstein, “work hand-in-hand with elections officials on the ground to ensure they have the tools they need to make the 2020 election a success.”

Juno said she tried to call National Vote at Home Institute to figure out its donors, but they wouldn’t tell her. “It kind of tainted the process,” she alleged.

Green bay election

She said a breakdown started with the mayor’s office last April, when “we couldn’t get in the building. They weren’t returning our calls or emails, and they were making decisions we didn’t feel were the best decisions.”


What People Saw Unfolding at Central Count During the Green Bay Election

What she observed that night so upset Brown County Clerk Juno that she contacted a lawyer with the Wisconsin Election Commission about it. We obtained her email to that lawyer, and his response.

At 11:59 p.m. on election day, Juno wrote Nathan Judnic, an attorney with the Wisconsin Election Commission, about Spitzer-Rubenstein. “Nate, I have concerns about this person from an outside organization at the central county location for the City of Green Bay,” she wrote. “I observed that he has a laptop, printer, and cell phone (accessible) within the central count facility. Likewise, we were told he is an observer for the outside organization that gave them a grant and his position is paid for by that even though he’s from a different org. I observed him interacting with the poll workers and advising them on matters. I believe the central count location is tainted by the influence of a person working for an outside organization affecting the election. Please explain how grant money from a private outside organization and employee from a private outside organization does not violate election laws for free and fair elections?”

Green bay election

At 1 p.m. on Nov. 3, Judnic wrote Juno back, and said the commission had “several conversations with Green Bay leading up to today and are aware that they were going to be using consultants from some outside groups today.”

He added, “We’ve discussed the roles these individuals were going to be assigned and told them that while there is nothing that would prohibit the City of from using these individuals, the inspectors and the absentee board of canvassers working the location are the individuals that are to be making decisions, not the consultants. I have talked to Kim, the Deputy Clerk who was going to reach out to the central count folks and reinforce this guidance.”

However, two election observers we spoke to and Juno said they were concerned what they saw.

Judnic continued in the email to Juno: “I would certainly like to be made aware of issues or decisions that have been ‘tainted’ at the central count, I’m not 100% sure what you mean. As far as grant money, etc., I’m again interested if there are issues or decision that have been made that you think we should look into. I’m only really aware of the recent litigation related to grants given to municipalities which included Green Bay, Milwaukee, Madison and a couple others, but I was under the impression that case was dismissed and the US Supreme Court chose not to take it up prior to the election. Let me know if there is anything else I can help with on this.”

Green bay election

We asked Reid Magney, spokesperson for the Wisconsin Election Commission, whether it was illegal for people who aren’t election inspectors to interact with poll workers in the way described. “There are different roles at polling places and central count absentee locations,” he responded. “There are the election inspectors (poll workers) who are residents of the county, who have taken the required training and who have taken an oath. Then there are helpers who can do many other things like assisting the election inspectors with minor tasks like carrying things, cleaning, minor clerical duties, etc.”

The city clerk was out on leave so the deputy clerk took her place, which Juno claims no one told her. The deputy clerk told us the inspector was a person in her office, not Rivera-Wagner or Rubenstein. The board of canvassers is made up of other people who are involved in ballot counting after election day.

Mark Lamb, an election attorney from Washington State who worked as a Republican observer in Green Bay, told WRN, “Amaad was sort of on the floor moving around facilitating. He was definitely in communication with people making decisions on ballots, who were handling them. We want and confronted Amaad. He also seemed to be supervising things. He was very defensive.” He was concerned Rivera-Wagner was “easily identified as a partisan with a deep stake in the outcome.” He said he wouldn’t have cared if Rivera-Wagner was an observer, but he was acting as more than that.

Lamb was concerned about “the involvement of third parties who had an ambiguous role,” saying that a poll worker brought Rubenstein’s presence to his attention. “Spitzer-Rubenstein was absolutely engaging with people very directly on ballots. Actively engaging people on the machines, who were dealing with and handling ballots,” he alleged. Lamb said there was an “angry interaction” between Rivera-Wagner and another GOP election observer.

Green bay election

Andrew Kloster was another election observer for the GOP. He gave a similar account. “Amaad, I did witness him directing people, moving boxes, handling boxes, advising people on how to process ballots,” he claimed to WRN. “He was involved in all aspects, when the poll workers would raise their hand.” He said he saw “multiple individuals who were with the city government but not with either the clerk’s office or elections officials who were interacting with poll workers, both advising them how to make discretionary calls on ballot counting but also handling boxes and ballots themselves.” He claims that GOP observers raised objections about Spitzer-Rubenstein being there and were told by Rivera-Wagner that he was a “program technician.”

Kim Wayte was the deputy city clerk who says she was in charge of the election for the city. She wasn’t at Central Count the entire time because she had to help with election efforts elsewhere. She said an employee in her office was the chief election inspector at Central Count but didn’t want to speak to the news media. Of Rivera-Wagner, she said, “I think he was there to help and assist. He’s also a city employee. He wasn’t as far as I know doing anything we didn’t tell him to do.” When she was there, she said she didn’t see any “red flags” in his actions. She said GOP election observers weren’t supposed to talk to anyone but the chief inspector.

She stressed, “We don’t do anything party affiliated. I am against any party affiliation.”

She claimed that ballots are separated from the absentee ballot envelopes. Although she acknowledged that theoretically someone could see the ballot and envelope with voter’s name on it when separating them, she said, “I don’t think anyone cares” to look and added that “everyone signs an oath.”

Spitzer-Rubenstein “had something to do with the grant we won,” she said. Eventually, they switched him to observer status, she said. “He was assisting with flow. As far as I know he didn’t handle any ballots. He might have been going around talking to people he shouldn’t have, not sure.”

She said she asked Spitzer-Rubenstein to sit in a corner after learning the state had received complaints about him. “I told him to just sit down and observe,” she said, after receiving word of those complaints.

She believes the Green Bay election “ran the way it’s supposed to.”

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Prosecutors Rest Their Case Against Trump in Hush Money Trial

State prosecutors rested their case against former President Donald Trump on Monday, capping off four weeks of testimony from 20 witnesses.

The first-ever trial of a former President was one step closer to a conclusion after prosecutors concluded their case Monday. Next up: Trump's attorneys will get a chance to present their defense. The case centered around Trump's alleged sexual encounter with an adult film actress in 2006 and a $130,000 payment to her in 2016 to keep her quiet ahead of the 2016 election. Trump has pleaded not guilty and denied the encounter happened.

Prosecutors allege that Trump covered up the payment to Stormy Daniels and another hush money payment to former Playboy model Karen McDougal ahead of the election and covered them up as legal payments.

Trump, 77, is the first former U.S. president to be charged with a felony.

Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg charged Trump with 34 counts of falsifying business records related to money paid to Daniels and McDougal. Bragg has alleged Trump broke New York law when he falsified business records with the intent to commit or conceal another crime.

Prosecutors allege Trump falsified internal records kept by his company, hiding the true nature of payments that involve Daniels ($130,000), McDougal ($150,000), and Trump's former personal lawyer Michael Cohen ($420,000). Prosecutors allege the money was logged as legal expenses, not reimbursements. Both Cohen and Daniels testified during the trial.

Daniels detailed the alleged 2006 sexual encounter and testified she "blacked out." She also said Trump didn't wear a condom. Defense attorneys asked for a mistrial after that testimony, which they argued was prejudicial.

Judge Juan Merchan denied that motion and repeatedly fined Trump for his comments and social media activity outside of the courtroom. Merchan ordered Trump to pay a total of $10,000 for violations of the gag order.

The gag order remains in place. Trump, the nation's 45th president, is prohibited from making or directing others to make public statements about the jurors, witnesses, attorneys, court staff, district attorney staff and family members of staff.

It is not clear if Trump plans to take the stand in his own defense. He previously said he would take the stand if necessary.

Under New York state law, falsifying business records in the first degree is a Class E felony that carries a maximum sentence of four years in prison.

In late March, Trump said that he wasn't worried about a conviction when asked if he thought a conviction could hurt his chances of returning to the White House.

"It could also make me more popular because the people know it's a scam," he said. "It's a Biden trial, there is no trial, there's a Biden trial."

Whatever happens during the trial, Trump will be protected by the U.S. Secret Service.

Even if convicted and sentenced to jail, Trump could continue his campaign to retake the White House.

"The Constitution does not bar felons from serving as President," said Richard Hasen, professor of law and political science at the University of California, Los Angeles.

Trump could not pardon himself from any state charges, Hasen said.

Federal Scholarship Program Under Fire For Alleged Bias Against Conservatives

Lawmakers have threatened to revoke the appropriations for a federally-funded scholarship program that an audit found favors liberally leaning students over conservatives by a ratio of 10 to 1.

The Harry S. Truman Scholarship Foundation was established in the 1970s to award scholarships to students who “demonstrate outstanding potential for and who plan to pursue a career in public service.”

An audit of those scholarships performed by the right-leaning American Enterprise Institute, though, reported strong liberal bias at the taxpayer-funded foundation.

“While this role suggests these programs should include scholars who reflect a breadth of views, values, and interests, their participants instead display a stark ideological tilt,” AEI said in its report.

The foundation does have members of both parties on its board, including U.S. Rep. Kay Granger, R-Texas, and U.S. Sen. Jerry Moran, R-Kans.

Notably, President Joe Biden's Education Secretary Miguel Cardona also sits on the board.

House Republican lawmakers on leadership on the relevant committees sent a letter to foundation Executive Secretary Terry Babcock-Lumish demanding answers.

“Between 2021 and 2023, the Truman Foundation selected 182 Truman winners,” the letter said. “Yet, despite the Truman Foundation’s claims that it ‘supports scholars from a wide range of perspectives, interests, and geographic areas,’ just six recipients espoused interest in a cause traditionally considered conservative-leaning.

“Not a single winner professed interest in causes such as protecting the rights of the unborn or defending the Second Amendment,” the letter continued. “By contrast, the Foundation selected at least 74 winners professing interest in a progressive cause.”

The foundation awards about 60 scholarships every year.

“As a publicly funded award charged with preparing the civic leaders of tomorrow, the Truman Scholarship should, at a bare minimum, be reflective of the country’s breadth of values, viewpoints, and interests,” the letter said. “The Truman Foundation requested approximately $3 million in appropriations for the upcoming fiscal year. However, if the Truman Scholarship functions as a career booster solely for students of a particular political persuasion, it should no longer be worthy of Congressional support, taxpayer funding, or its exalted public image.”

Education and the Workforce Committee Chairwoman Virginia Foxx, R-N.C., Subcommittee on Higher Education and Workforce Development Chairman Burgess Owens, R-Utah., and Subcommittee on Labor, Health and Human Services, Education, and Related Agencies Chairman Robert Aderholt, R-Ala., led the letter.

The foundation did not respond to a request for comment in time for publication.

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Wisconsin Lawmakers Push Questions About IDs For Illegal Immigrants, Voting

(The Center Square) – Some Wisconsin lawmakers are trying to calm fears about illegal immigrants getting IDs and voting in the state.

The Assembly Committee on Campaigns and Elections and the Senate Committee on Shared Revenue, Elections and Consumer Protection held a hearing Thursday with the Wisconsin Department of Transportation, some local election clerks and Fond du Lac County’s district attorney.

“We're not trying to get anybody into a bad spot here, or in a corner, or make accusations on that level,” Sen. Dan Knodl, R-Germantown, said. “We want our clerks, who are already stressed enough, to know that we are here to be there as an assist to them.”

Rep. Scott Krug, R-Nekoosa, said he wants to make sure voters have faith in Wisconsin’s electoral process.

“This is one of the topics that hit our inboxes quite a bit the last three months or so,” Krug added. “We thought it’s pretty important just to vet it out, to get all the information out to the public.”

The Wisconsin Elections Commission was invited to Thursday’s meeting but didn’t attend because commissioners were having a meeting of their own. But that left lawmakers’ questions unanswered.

Wis-DOT Deputy Secretary Kristina Boardman said Wisconsin is known as a strict voter ID state.

“I want to make very clear that Wis-DOT is required to provide free identification cards for U.S. citizens that request them for the purposes of voting, and that to be eligible for that free identification card one must be a U.S. citizen and at least 17 years of age,” Boardman said. “Wis-DOT staff do not determine voter eligibility or register anyone to vote. Someone who has a Wisconsin ID or a driver's license is eligible to register to vote online, and that information will be confirmed with Wisconsin DMV systems to ensure that the information entered for voter registration is consistent with the DMV's records

Boardman said in Wisconsin, less than a fraction of one percent of ID requests are fraudulent.

“We put together [a] case activity report, assemble all of the documentation that we have, we have the investigator that had the case pull that together, and we do refer that to law enforcement so that they can take whatever action is appropriate,” Boardman added. “We note what statutes we believe may have been violated. And then it's up to law enforcement to take action.”

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Senate Republicans Override Evers’ Vetoes

(The Center Square) – On Tuesday, the Republican-controlled Wisconsin Senate voted to override nine vetoes from Gov. Tony Evers, including the vetoes that scuttled PFAS clean-up money, millions of dollars that were earmarked for hospitals in Eau Claire and Chippewa Falls and a plan that would allow advanced practice registered nurses to work more independently.

“The legislature has passed hundreds of bills to solve problems facing Wisconsin businesses and families. Most of these bills were signed into law, but many were vetoed by a governor more focused on politics than policies that help everyday Wisconsinites,” Senate Majority Leader Devin LeMahieu said Tuesday. “Overriding the governor’s obstructive vetoes is the last, best way to address these critical issues.”

The override votes came one day after Evers sued the legislature over nearly $200 million that is attached to some of his vetoes.

Most of that money is the $125 million that’s supposed to go toward PFAS clean up in Wisconsin.

“For the fifth time this legislative session, I voted to provide Wisconsin families with the largest investment in clean drinking water in state history – five more times than every Democrat legislator in this state combined. The bill that Gov. Evers vetoed (SB 312) would have created a grant program that targets this critical funding to areas of the state most heavily impacted by PFAS contamination while protecting innocent landowners from financial ruin,” Sen Duey Stroebel, R-Cedarburg, said.

Evers has accused the legislature’s budget-writing Joint Finance Committee of obstructing his plans to clean up Wisconsin’s drinking water, and of delaying his other actions across the state.

LeMahieu said Evers is simply playing the game.

“While Gov. Evers plays politics, the legislature will continue to do the right thing on behalf of the people of our state,” LeMahieu added.

Senate Democrats responded with game-playing accusations of their own.

“Coming in to do all these veto overrides was clearly a stunt to try to appeal to voters ahead of the fall election,” Den. Mark Spreitzer, D-Beloit, said. “Clearly Republicans were hearing from things in their district and wanted political cover. I don't think they got political cover today. I think what they got was people realizing just how afraid they are.”

But Tuesday’s veto overrides are largely symbolic.

While Republicans in the Wisconsin Senate have a veto-proof majority, Republicans in the Wisconsin Assembly do not.

trump vs biden

Trump Holds Lead Over Biden Heading Toward November

With less than half a year until the 2024 presidential election, former President Donald Trump holds a sizable lead over incumbent President Joe Biden in several swing states.

While the overall national polling varies and shows a tighter race, Trump holds significant leads in several swing states.

According to Real Clear Politics, Trump leads in a slew of key battleground states like Arizona (+5.2), Georgia (+4.6), Michigan (+0.8), Nevada (+6.2), North Carolina (+5.4), Pennsylvania (+2.0), and Wisconsin (+0.6).

Other polling has shown Trump with a dominant lead in the Sun Belt while performing less well against Biden in some rust belt swing states.

“As the old saying goes, good gets better and bad gets worse, and it’s clear President Biden is in bad shape right now,” Colin Reed, a Republican strategist, former campaign manager for U.S. Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass., and co-founder of South and Hill Strategies, told The Center Square. “Five and a half months is an eternity in politics, and there’s theoretically still time to right the ship, but it’s getting late early for the president, especially when Father Time remains undefeated and doubts about his age continue to grow. “

According to the Real Clear Politics’ national polling average, Trump leads Biden 46.1% to 44.9%.

A New York Times poll released this week showed leads for Trump in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada and Pennsylvania but slightly trailing Biden in Wisconsin, raising concerns among supporters.

Trump’s lead has been in large part fueled by minority voters flocking to his side.

Meanwhile, Biden’s approval rating has plummeted since taking office. While that is not unusual for incumbents, Biden’s approval is lower than recent presidents.

Gallup recently released polling data showing that in the 13th quarter of Biden’s presidency, he averaged a 38.7% approval rating, worse than Trump at the same time in his term.

“None of the other nine presidents elected to their first term since Dwight Eisenhower had a lower 13th-quarter average than Biden,” Gallup said.

Axios reported this week that Biden and his team think the polls don’t represent Americans’ actual feelings and that the president’s position is strong.

“They're still 50% (well 45%) to win, per betting markets,” pollster Nate Silver wrote on X. “But Biden has been behind Trump in polls for a year now. His approval is in the tank, and voters have been clear they think he's too old. If Trump wins, history will not remember Biden kindly.”

Meanwhile, Trump spends valuable campaign time in a series of court appearances for his myriad of federal prosecution court dates.

“I’m under a gag order,” Trump told reporters after a court appearance Tuesday. “Nobody has actually seen anything like it ... I'm beating him in every poll and I have a gag order, so I think it's totally unconstitutional."

Republicans have blasted Biden for Trump’s prosecution, accusing Biden of using the Justice Department against his political opponent.

“Despite Far Left Democrats’ illegal election interference, President Trump is beating Joe Biden in the polls!” Rep. Elise Stefanik, R-N.Y., wrote on X Tuesday. “Voters see right through the sham Biden Trials and know President Trump is the best choice for president.”

uw-madison

What UW-Madison’s Graduation Got Right & Wrong [Up Against the Wall]

I have a love-hate relationship with the UW-Madison. On one hand, I love the university;...