Tuesday, November 4, 2025
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Tuesday, November 4, 2025

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Milwaukee Public Museum’s Fuzzy Math: Are Officials Misleading Taxpayers About ‘Deferred Maintenance’? [EXCLUSIVE]

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Wisconsin Right Now, with a project-specific grant from No Better Friend Corp., Kevin Nicholson’s non-profit organization, is investigating the Milwaukee County Museum’s rhetoric, cost estimates and plans for a new museum. Read the entire series here. 

Is the museum misleading the public about deferred maintenance costs to justify a new $240 million building project?

We took a deep dive into the “deferred maintenance” numbers the Milwaukee Public Museum is using to justify its claim that building a new $240 million facility is the only option. We found a troubling lack of transparency, and numbers that have constantly shifted.

We also found that, if the museum simply fixed its maintenance needs, staying in the current building would be cheaper to county taxpayers than building a new museum, even though the museum’s CEO and the county executive have claimed the opposite.

Milwaukee public museum deferred maintenanceTo put it simply, the museum has used ballooning numbers for deferred maintenance – their estimate increased from $30 million in 2015 to $100 million on its website today – to drive a narrative in Milwaukee’s indifferent media that backlogged maintenance costs make staying in the current facility unfeasible.

However, we’ve been able to document using public records that the museum’s so-called “deferred” maintenance costs appear to actually extend 20 years into the future; in other words, it’s the equivalent of you saying something like, “well, 18 years down the road, I’ll probably need a new roof, so I better tear down my entire current house and build a smaller one right now even though it will cost more. Even though I could just choose to budget responsibly instead, set money aside, and be fine when the repair comes.”

This all raises the legitimate question of why the county doesn’t just pay for the maintenance annually and stay in the current building, perhaps building off-site storage to better protect the collections. Off-site storage will be needed in the new building anyway, which is half the size. Building an off-site storage warehouse is estimated to only cost $2.3 million.

Milwaukee public museum deferred maintenanceWisconsin Right Now put the shifting estimates for deferred maintenance in a timeline based on county documents and news articles. You can see it at the end of this story. The timeline  shows how Milwaukee’s media outlets have functioned as stenographers for museum officials, reporting shifting amounts without pressing museum and county leaders on how the estimates were reached, what they really mean, or why they were constantly changing.

The Museum’s Estimate Jumped $50 Million in Less Than a Year

What museum officials are telling the public now on their website  – a claim parroted in a January 2023 Milwaukee Journal Sentinel story – is not what they told the county less than a year ago. In less than one year’s time, the museum’s deferred maintenance estimate jumped by $50 million without detailed explanation.

Museum officials have refused to explain their deferred maintenance numbers to Wisconsin Right Now, and museum CEO Ellen Censky has refused to sit down for an interview. That’s despite pledging transparency and $85 million in public funding from the state and county.

This is a pattern. They’ve also refused to explain which exhibits will be featured in the new museum, including being specific about what will happen to the popular Streets of Old Milwaukee exhibit, although they do promise to have a “green roof” and “bird friendly glass.” Groundbreaking is scheduled for December 2023 on the new $240 million project.

Today, the museum claims on its website that it “has approximately $100 million deferred capital maintenance” as justification for needing the new $240 million museum project, funded in part by taxpayers. “Milwaukee County, despite its best efforts, simply does not have funds available to maintain the building,” they tell taxpayers.

Milwaukee public museum deferred maintenanceWhy this matters: The museum claims it would cost $250 million to stay in the old building, in part due to deferred maintenance; conveniently, the figure is $10 million more than building a new facility, strengthening officials’ public argument for a new museum.

We did what other media have not. We have tried to pin down exactly how the museum is reaching that $250 million estimate, which ballooned from $131 million in a 2015 consultants’ report. A key part of it is the deferred maintenance claim.

Just three years ago, Censky told BizTimes that the museum didn’t even have $100 million in deferred maintenance costs projected “over the next 20 years.”

On the website, taxpayers are not told about the 20-year context.

“In all, the museum faces an estimated $87 million in deferred maintenance projected over the next 20 years,” the BizTimes reported that Censky told them in 2019.

In addition, We’ve previously revealed that top museum officials admit that $80-90 million of the $250 million cost for renovating the old museum comes from what they believe is a pressing need to update exhibits for racial and equity concerns, although, yet again, they won’t say which ones or why it’s needed.


Tracing the Museum’s ‘Fuzzy Math’

Tracing the museum’s deferred maintenance numbers is not easy since they won’t cooperate.

Through public records, we unearthed a document for the $87 million number that comes close to the $100 million deferred maintenance claim on the museum’s website if you take a lot of liberties in rounding it up. This is the estimate that is spread over the next 20 years.

Milwaukee public museum deferred maintenanceIn February 2019, an appraisal report sent to Milwaukee County’s Department of Administrative Services by The Nicholson Group Inc. found that the “building and its mechanical systems are in deferred condition with a Facility Condition Assessment Report estimating $86.45 million for necessary replacements and capital needs over the next 20 years.” Read it here.

However, in a March 2022 meeting before a county committee that approved $45 million in public funding for the new project, Katie Sanders, the chief planning officer for the museum, told supervisors that a 2015 study put the museum’s deferred maintenance at $30 million and underestimated it by “at least $20 million.”

Milwaukee public museum deferred maintenance
Katie sanders meeting slide in march 2022

That would bring her estimate for deferred maintenance to at least $50 million. She used the estimate to help convince supervisors to approve the funding.

In late 2021, a Milwaukee interoffice communication written by Aaron Hertzberg, Director, Department of Administrative Services, and Dr. Ellen Censky, President & CEO, Milwaukee Public Museum, to Marcelia Nicholson, Chairwoman, Milwaukee County Board of Supervisors, also suddenly used the more than $50 million figure.

“Overall high-level estimated deferred capital costs associated with the current building are in excess of $50,000,000,” it says.

It notes that a 2015 Gallagher and Associates report “underestimated the deferred maintenance of the building (at the time noting only $30,000,000) and did not account for the full cost of storage equipment.” The report then states that the Gallagher report only discussed updating two exhibits, which the memo says means the “concept of remaining in the building fails to achieve racial equity outcomes.” The document does not list the specific deferred maintenance needs.

It’s unclear why the museum is currently telling the public the deferred maintenance number has jumped to more than $100 million.

Milwaukee public museum deferred maintenanceUsing Sanders’ number and the number in the memo, that would make the annual cost about $2.5 million a year over 20 years to clear up the deferred maintenance projects in the old building, although the amounts aren’t all spread evenly over each year. The county currently pays $3.5 million in operating costs to the museum each year. So that’s a grand total of $6 million per year to stay in the old museum, presuming the county couldn’t use some of the $3.5 million toward the deferred maintenance bills (or convince the county or state to use the public money they’ve already approved toward it).

We obtained a county document that shows the annual cost of moving to the new museum would cost the county $6.2 million a year – more than staying in the old facility. That figure counts the costs of maintaining the old building, which couldn’t simply be abandoned.

Milwaukee public museum deferred maintenance

The state has already committed $40 million, and Milwaukee County has committed $45 million for a new building, ironically totaling almost the same amount as the Nicholson Group estimate – $85 million. [Note: The Nicholson Group is not tied to Kevin Nicholson.]

Could those funds instead be put towards the anticipated replacements and capital needs over the next 20 years, renovating the current building instead and saving beloved exhibits like the Streets of Old Milwaukee and the intricate artistic dioramas?

Milwaukee public museum deferred maintenanceThe museum officials would likely argue that, in addition to deferred maintenance and racial/equity updates, renovating the old museum instead would accrue other costs. They’ve been vague about what however.

Concerns have been raised by an accreditation committee about the impact on collections from a supposedly deteriorating building.

However, as noted, a new off-site storage warehouse would only cost $2.3 million, according to Urban Milwaukee.

Sanders told a county committee it would also cost $20 million for moving the collections and storage equipment. In addition, in the $250 million cost for staying in the old building, she appears to have included the 2015 estimate of $131 million. That estimate included things some people might consider wants, like a new facade, and Vivarium (butterfly exhibit), a rooftop glass pavilion and patio, and a student lunchroom “connector.”

Milwaukee public museum deferred maintenanceThe rest of the $240 million for the new museum is supposed to come from private donors. However, the new project has only raised $32 million from private donors – leaving it $118 million short with groundbreaking set for December, according to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel (the museum has refused to give us the total amount of private donations raised so far). There has been no explanation of an alternative plan, should that figure not be met.

“The total cost of the project is $240 million—$90 million dollars in public funds ($45M from Milwaukee County, $40M from the State, $5M in other government funds); $150 million in private funding. We have raised more than half of the funds so far,” was all Madeline Anderson, the museum’s Earned Media director, would tell us.

Furthermore, the museum has received ongoing money for maintenance costs from the county over the years. In March 2022, Sanders told supervisors that the county had spent $15 million “in capital support in last 10 years” for the current building. That money would go down the drain with a move.

We asked the museum’s earned media director Madeline Anderson, and its public relations firm, Mueller Communications, to detail specifically what the deferred maintenance needs are. We sent a list of written questions, but most have gone unanswered. We have not received a detailed breakdown.

However, turning again toward public records, we unearthed the museum’s capital requests from 2019 through 2023. The total is only just over $21 million.

Milwaukee public museum deferred maintenance

We found documents that break the maintenance needs down by year in county records. These documents show specifics for the $87 million in projected maintenance costs from 2018 to 2037; the figure is only $64 million from 2023 to 2037. That’s roughly close to Sanders’ estimate of “at least $50 million.”

The items are for capital improvements like stairs, roofs, HVAC, and electrical. Some years, very little money would be needed. In a couple years, large expenditures are budgeted.

See:

18-650 FUNDING NEEDS REPORT ALL REQUIREMENTS

18-650 FUNDING NEEDS REPORT BY SYSTEM

Milwaukee public museum deferred maintenanceWe wrote Milwaukee County Comptroller Scott Manske, asking him to detail the museum’s deferred maintenance needs from the county’s perspective. He didn’t respond, continuing the culture of non-transparency.


Shifting Deferred Maintenance Costs Timeline

2012

$30 million. The museum’s deferred maintenance needs were estimated by the museum’s chief financial officer at $30 million, according to The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.

2013

A county document says the county agreed to provide $4 million from 2014-2017 in capital project funding for deferred maintenance costs.

2015

$30 million.

Gallagher and Associates, the consulting firm hired by the museum to investigate the feasibility of staying in the current building, gave this number for its deferred maintenance needs. We have asked the museum for the full Gallagher report, but they have not provided it. We have also asked Gallagher whether they dispute the museum’s claims that they underestimated the museum’s true deferred maintenance needs in this report by $20 million, as stated by Sanders in March 2022. They have not responded.

The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported that, in 2015, Milwaukee County “estimated that repairs and upgrades alone would cost $89 million in the coming 20 years.”

2018

$40 million.

The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported that the current building had “about $40 million in deferred maintenance,” according to then museum President Dennis Kois.


2018

Nearly $100 million.

In 2019, a Strategic Plan 2018 – 2022 for the museum noted that “a study done in 2015 and then updated in 2018 reported nearly $100M in deferred maintenance on the Museum building.”

September 2018

$30 Million

A major report by the Wisconsin Policy Forum into Milwaukee cultural institutions noted, “Despite receiving nearly $10 million for repairs and updates in the past five years, the MPM building faces $30 million in deferred maintenance.”

2019

$30 million.

A 2019 feasibility study conducted by Gallagher and Associates on combining the museum with the Domes listed “repairs and maintenance” as $747,560 for the Milwaukee Public Museum for that year.

Urban Milwaukee reported that the museum had “approximately $30 million in deferred maintenance.”

In 2019, Ryan O’Desky, the museum’s chief operating officer and chief financial officer, told the county that the two largest issues “facing the museum are an aging air conditioning system and water leaks throughout the building.” He said that a chiller needed to be replaced that cools people in the summer as well as the museum’s collections. The cost was estimated at $850,000. The other issue cited was a fourth-floor roof with a price tag at $750,000.

April 2019

BizTimes reported that “the museum faces an estimated $87 million in deferred maintenance projected over the next 20 years,” according to museum CEO Censky.

February 2021

$30 million.

The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel notes in an article about state funding that the current museum was “in need of $30 million in deferred maintenance projects.”

March 2021

$30 million.

The Journal Sentinel repeats the $30 million deferred maintenance claim.

June 2021 – $40 million in state funding is approved

November 2021

More than $50 Million.

A Milwaukee interoffice communication written by Aaron Hertzberg, Director, Department of Administrative Services, and Dr. Ellen Censky, President & CEO, Milwaukee Public Museum, to Marcelia Nicholson, Chairwoman, Milwaukee County Board of Supervisors, suddenly uses the more than $50 million figure.

“Overall high-level estimated deferred capital costs associated with the current building are in excess of $50,000,000,” it says.

It notes that the Gallagher report “underestimated the deferred maintenance of the building (at the time noting only $30,000,000) and did not account for the full cost of storage equipment.” The report then states that the Gallagher report only discussed updating two exhibits, which the memo says means the “concept of remaining in the building fails to achieve racial equity outcomes.” The document does not list the specific deferred maintenance needs.

March 2022 – $45 million in county funding is approved

March 2022

More than $50 million.

WTMJ-TV reported that museum CEO “Censky says there is more than $50 million in deferred maintenance.”

Katie Sanders tells a county committee that the museum has at least $50 million in deferred maintenance.

March 2022

$70 million.

The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, in a story on the Milwaukee County Board approving $45 million in funding for the new museum, reports that the museum is “in need of $70 million in deferred maintenance projects.”

March 2022

WTMJ 620 AM reported “Since its construction in the 1960s, the museum has gained approximately $100 million in deferred capital maintenance.”

July 2022

$100 million.

BizTimes reported that the museum has $100 million in deferred maintenance.

January 2023

$100 million. The museum’s website currently claims that the museum “has approximately $100 million deferred capital maintenance.”

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Poll: Voters Have a Lack of Name Recognition of Wisconsin Governor Candidates

(The Center Square) – Most voers in Wisconsin haven’t decided who they support to be the state’s next governor, according to a new Marquette Law School poll.

The poll showed that 81% of Democrats and 70% of Republicans have not made their choice in a crowded field to replace Gov. Tony Evers in the Aug. 11, 2026, primary. The general election is Nov. 3, 2026.

Those polled were asked which candidates they knew about with 39% saying they recognize and have an opinion of Rep. Tom Tiffany while 17% recognize Washington County Executive Josh Schoemann and 11% recognize medical service technician Andy Manske.

Of the Democrats Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley has the highest recognition at 26%,with Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez at 25%, State Rep. Francesca Hong at 22%, state Sen. Kelda Roys at 17%, former Wisconsin Economic Development Corp. CEO Missy Hughes at 16%; former state Rep. Brett Hulsey at 15% and Milwaukee beer vendor Ryan Strnad at 11%.

The poll asked 846 registered voters the questions between Oct. 15-22.

The poll had similar responses related to supreme court candidates Maria Lazar and Chris Taylor, with 86% saying they don’t have enough information on Lazar and 84% saying the same about Taylor while 69% of those polled said they did not have enough information on what each candidate stands for.

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‘Outrageous’: Lawmakers Trash Biden Administration for Targeting, Surveilling 156 Republicans

(The Center Square) – The Biden administration’s probe into President Donald Trump’s 2020 election loss progressed far beyond investigating potential fraud and potentially targeted 156 conservatives and conservative organizations.

Whistleblower-sourced records, made public Wednesday by Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa, show that the Arctic Frost probe, pushed by Biden administration special counsel Jack Smith, conducted extensive and legally dubious investigations into Trump-supporting Republicans nationwide.

Smith, the FBI, and the Department of Justice spent thousands of taxpayer dollars to collect personal cellular phone data, conduct dozens of interviews, and issue 197 subpoenas to 34 individuals and 163 businesses.

“Arctic Frost was the vehicle by which FBI agents and DOJ prosecutors could improperly investigate the entire Republican political apparatus. Contrary to what Smith has said publicly, this was clearly a fishing expedition,” Grassley told reporters Wednesday.

“If this had happened to Democrats, they’d be as rightly outraged as we are outraged,” he added. “We’re making these records public in the interest of transparency and so that the American people can draw their own conclusions.”

The records reveal some of the targets on page 60, including multiple state Republican party chairs or former chairs; many state lawmakers and attorneys; individuals believed at the time to be “fake electors;” and conservatives involved in election integrity efforts.

Records of additional individuals and organizations targeted, beginning on page 101, list everyone from Trump campaign staffers to former senior White House advisor Stephen Miller and White House Deputy Chief of Staff Dan Scavino. The list spans multiple states and includes some significant redactions.

The Arctic Frost team also collected phone records of at least nine Republican senators without notifying them, and attempted but failed to collect phone data on others.

Sen. Ron Johnson, R-Wis., called the records “nothing short of a Biden administration enemies list” and deemed it “far worse, orders of magnitude worse” than the Watergate scandal of the Nixon administration.

“People need to realize how politicized the Biden administration turned all these agencies,” Johnson said. “It’s outrageous, it should shock every American…we need to get to the bottom of this…so that this doesn’t happen again in America.”

The revelations build on previous documents showing that the Biden administration targeted 92 conservative groups, including the Republican National Committee; Republican Attorneys General Association; the America First Policy Institute; and Turning Point USA, the organization previously headed by political commentator Charlie Kirk, who was fatally shot in September.

In a Truth Social post Wednesday, Trump called the investigators a “disgrace to humanity.”

“These thugs should all be investigated and put in prison,” he said. “Deranged Jack Smith is a criminal!!!”

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Poll: Wisconsin Voters Prepared to Vote Against Public School Referenda

(The Center Square) – For the first time in the past 10 years of polling, more Wisconsin voters said they would vote against a school referendum than for it.

Fifty-seven percent of voters said they would vote against a referendum in the new Marquette Law School poll.

That compares to 52% in June, 57% in February and 55% in January saying they would vote for a school referendum if it was proposed by a local school board.

The poll asked 846 registered voters the questions between Oct. 15-22.

“This is one to keep an eye on to see if this trend continues or it’s just a fluke of this sample,” Law School Poll Director Charles Franklin said.

The poll also showed that 56% said they believe reducing property taxes is more important than increasing spending on public schools.

That compared to 57% in June, 58% in February and 55% in January who said the same.

Historical Marquette polling showed that 50% first said they would prioritize reducing property taxes in June 2023 after years of polling showing that spending more on public schools was more important to voters.

That total has trended up since the 2023 polling.

“People have gotten more concerned about school spending and property taxes in particular,” Franklin said.

The polling comes after Milwaukee voters said they would prefer consolidating schools over another property tax referendum increase when Embold Research asked 535 likely Milwaukee voters in 2026 the questions between Oct. 6-10 on behalf of City Forward Collective and CFC Action Fund.

Legislators are currently discussing a bill that would require districts to file the required paperwork before being eligible for a referendum.

There also are a set of bills in the works on school consolidation.

Public school enrollment in Wisconsin is expected to decline by 10,000 students annually for the five-year period that began in 2023-24 and the trend is expected to continue.

The bill would provide a consolidation model process, funding for consolidation or shared service feasibility studies and assistance for schools as they try to match up differing levies and determine school board positions when consolidation occurs.

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Wisconsin Lawmakers Propose Legalizing Mobile Sports Wagering

(The Center Square) – A group of Wisconsin lawmakers are proposing a law that would allow mobile sports wagering across the state through the state’s current tribal operators.

The law would allow for a similar sports wagering model as Florida where the state’s sportsbook operators have servers on federally recognized tribal lands while users can be in the state of Wisconsin.

The proposal cites the U.S. Supreme Court’s 2024 decision not to hear a challenge to the sports wagering pact between Florida and the Seminole tribe of the hub-and-spoke sports wagering model.

Legal sports wagering is currently only allowed on tribal lands in Wisconsin while prediction markets such as Kalshi are now legal across the U.S.

The Ho-Chunk Nation currently has a lawsuit filed against Kalshi for operating in the state.

The bill is being proposed by Reps. Tyler August, R-Walworth, and Kalan Haywood, D-Milwaukee, along with Sens. Howard Marklein, R-Spring Green, and Kristin Dassler-Alfheim, D-Appleton.

“This legislation is an important step to bring Wisconsin in alignment with the majority of the country in regards to sports wagering," Haywood said in a statement. "For too long, illegal, offshore entities have profited from consumers through unregulated sports wagering, without generating revenue for local economies.

"By regulating this multi-billion-dollar industry, we can provide a safer mobile wagering experience for Wisconsin consumers, and generate much needed revenue to invest into our communities.”

Wisconsin receives payments that are a portion of the net win from tribal casinos but does not separately reports sports wagering payments.

In 2024, the state received more than $66 million in shared revenue payments with nearly $66 million in 2023 and nearly $57 million in 2022.

Sports wagering is legal in 39 states with 31 allowing mobile sports wagering.

Sponsors sent out the proposed legislation to fellow lawmakers this week asking for co-sponsors before Oct. 22.

“This bill does not authorize gambling on its own; it only is one part in a multi-step process to create the legal framework necessary for Wisconsin to participate in mobile sports wagering under tribal compacts,” the proposal said. “Gaming compacts between states and tribes need to be federally approved by the U.S. Department of Interior before going into effect.”

Making a sports bet in the state is currently a misdemeanor offense and the bill would exclude from the legal term “bet” any mobile sports wager with an approved sportsbook with servers located on tribal lands.

The bill estimates it will bring hundreds of millions of illegal bets into legal sportsbooks in the state, stating the change “generates new revenue through tribal gaming compacts and reduces consumer risk from offshore operators.”

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Thursday Hearing Set on Sexual Misconduct, Grooming in Wisconsin Schools

(The Center Square) – A hearing is scheduled for 11 a.m. on Thursday to address concerns about sexual misconduct and grooming in schools.

Committee on Government Operations, Accountability and Operations Chair Rep. Amanda Nedweski, R-Pleasant Prairie, scheduled the hearing and invited State School Superintendent Jill Underly, along with law enforcement.

Nedweski announced Thursday night she would be introducing three bills related to the case including a grooming law, standards for communication between students and faculty and to end a "loophole" where educators can surrender their teaching license rather than facing further investigation.

She had previously been working on the grooming law and bill on communications standards after the case of Kenosha teacher Christian Enwright, who pleaded guilty to 12 misdemeanors for his conduct sending hundreds of Snapchat messages to a student that resulted in a sentence of 450 days in jail and three years of probation.

“Since the Kenosha County Eye exposed Christian Enwright’s predatory behavior toward a student, I have been working on anti-grooming legislation that will establish harsh penalties for any adult convicted of grooming a minor for sexual activity,” Nedweski said in a statement. “This proposal will be modeled after comprehensive laws passed in other states and will give our law enforcement and prosecutors the tools they need to keep children safe.”

Senate Committee on Education Chair John Jagler and Vice Chair Romaine Quinn asked a series of 12 questions of Underly and demanded to get a response within 24 hours of the Thursday afternoon letter on if she will be willing to testify before the committee.

The Senate committee leaders had not heard back from Underly or her office as of 11:30 a.m. on Friday.

The Capital Times report showed that 200 investigations into teachers for sexual misconduct and grooming were shielded from the public by DPI and that accused teachers were able to forfeit their teaching license to avoid further investigation into alleged grooming.

The Center Square was unable to get comment from Underly or Gov. Tony Evers before publication.

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Wisconsin School Choice Enrollment Hit New High, Worries Persist

(The Center Square) – Wisconsin’s latest enrollment numbers show some good news for choice schools in the state, but there’s also a warning sign.

School Choice Wisconsin said choice enrollment hit a new record high of 60,972 students.

“Parents are speaking loudly and clearly about what they want for their children: more educational options different than those offered by public schools,” School Choice Wisconsin Vice President Carol Shires said.

The nearly 61,000 choice students this year is up from less than 34,000 in the 2016-2017 school year.

And, Shires said, the new record-high comes just as Wisconsin’s choice school enrollment cap expires.

“Lawmakers in Madison should continue to prioritize protecting these private-school options for all students,” she said.

But there are also warnings about the limits of choice school enrollment growth.

Quinton Klabon with the Institute for Reforming Government said choice schools will soon face the same demographic challenges that traditional public schools are facing.

He said the “baby bust” from the 2008 recession has arrived, and all schools will see enrollments fall because there are simply fewer school-aged children.

“School choice supporters and opponents alike have projected rapid, continued growth, but new data suggest the programs are affected by declining birth rates, school participation, or parent choices,” IRG noted.

“School choice supporters cannot be complacent,” Klabon said. “Informing parents, expanding high-quality schools, and protecting schools from hostile red tape are high priorities. Otherwise, the baby bust will close choice schools.”

The new enrollment numbers show Milwaukee’s choice program added 235 students this year.

Racine’s school choice program lost 14 students, and the state’s special needs choice program gained 419. But it was the statewide school choice program that saw the largest enrollment increases. The Wisconsin Parental Choice Program added 1,814 students this fall.

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Sharp Decline in Trans-identifying Youth Between 2023 and 2025, Report Says

A sharp decline in Gen Z Americans identifying as transgender and queer has occurred, from 6.8% identifying as a gender other than male or female in 2023 compared to 3.6% stating so in 2025, according to a report.

The report’s author, professor of Politics Eric Kaufmann, told The Center Square he thinks this drop in transgender young people “signals one of the first shifts away from progressive non-conformity of lifestyle and self-expression in 60 years.”

Kaufmann told The Center Square: “I believe we could be at the start of a gradual change toward a more post-progressive society, somewhat more socially conservative – or at least not as socially radical.”

Kaufmann also said to The Center Square that “there are many” implications to his report.

“First, that social influences are an important factor in the rise and decline of trans, queer and bisexual identity among young people since the 2010s,” Kaufmann said.

“Second, that gender and sexual identity seems to operate relatively independently of politics and culture war attitudes among young people,” Kaufmann said.

For instance, in an X post on the subject, Kaufmann wrote that the shift in queer and trans identification is not actually due to the youth becoming “less woke, more religious or more conservative,” because “those beliefs remained stable throughout the 2020s.”

Kaufmann told The Center Square that his third and final listed point on the implications of his report was “that improving mental health is connected to this trend [of declining Gen Z transgenderism], though only partially.”

Better mental health certainly appears to play a part in the decline in trans and queer identifying young Americans, as “less anxious and, especially, depressed, students [are] linked with a smaller share identifying as trans, queer or bisexual,” Kaufmann wrote on X.

Kaufmann additionally noted to The Center Square that “it does not appear that these shifts are related to social media consumption patterns.”

Interestingly, as Kaufmann wrote on X, “freshmen in 2024-25 were less trans and queer than seniors whereas it was the reverse when BTQ+ identity was surging in 2022-23,” suggesting that “gender/sexual non-conformity will continue to fall.”

Policy director at family advocacy group American Principles Project Paul Dupont told The Center Square that the findings of Kaufmann’s report “should be seen as good news.”

“Adopting an identity at odds with one's biology is not healthy, so any report showing more people embracing their bodies rather than rejecting them is a positive development,” Dupont said.

“While it's too early to say with certainty, one hopes that this decline will make it easier to root out gender ideology from its remaining strongholds,” Dupont said.

“Many blue states and cities still allow men to access women's private spaces and sports,” Dupont said. “Many hospitals and clinics still perform gender transition procedures on minors. Many school districts still keep parents in the dark if their child is struggling with gender dysphoria.”

“All of these policies must be repealed wherever they are still in force, and having more members of Gen Z acknowledge biological reality will only help hasten that process,” Dupont said.

Dupont advised that “advocates for sanity should be cautious not to declare victory yet.”

“Although we are making progress, gender ideology remains entrenched in many powerful American institutions, and Democrats have refused to moderate one inch in response to their election loss last year,” Dupont said. “There is still a difficult road ahead.”

Much of the information going into Kaufmann’s report came from raw data found in the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression’s (FIRE) annual survey of college students – the College Free Speech Rankings Survey – with more than 60,000 polled in 2025.

As stated by Kaufmann in an article on his report, “just 3.6% of respondents [to FIRE’s survey] identified as a gender other than male or female,” in 2025.

“By comparison, the figure was 5.2% in 2024 and 6.8% in both 2022 and 2023,” Kaufmann wrote. “In other words, the share of trans-identified students has effectively halved in just two years.”

FIRE told The Center Square that its survey “looks at student attitudes for free expression and is conducted for that purpose.”

FIRE explained that “as a side effect of asking demographic questions of so many respondents (68,000 this year), one can glean trends in demographics as Prof Kauffman has done here.”

“We make our data available to the public for free on this page to encourage academics or members of the public to dive in and see what findings they're able to uncover beyond the analyses that we ourselves are able to run,” FIRE told The Center Square.

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