Tuesday, October 15, 2024
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Tuesday, October 15, 2024

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Bets: 3 Weeks to go, & Trump Ascending to Favorite

Just 22 days from Election Day, Republican Donald Trump is the betting favorite over Kamala Harris 54.1%-44.9%.

Six times the favorite has changed since the vice president became the clear choice of Democrats in the wake of President Joe Biden quitting. The latest difference is the largest since the first of those shifts.

“We are going to defeat Kamala Harris, and we are going to usher in a new golden age of American success for citizens of every race, religion, color, and creed,” Trump said on social media Sunday.

Harris, campaigning Sunday in North Carolina, told her audience, "As president it is my pledge to you that I will always fight for all the American people, and together we will build a brighter future for our nation."

Trump has a 20-point platform, led by a return to enforcement of securing national borders. He chastises the Democrats for inflation that at 2.4% remains higher than when he left office in January 2021, yet is considerably lower than the 9.1% high of June 2022 under the watch of President Joe Biden. Energy independence and “manufacturing superpower” are also in his top five.

Harris, second in command to Biden, says her top issues are an opportunity economy and lower costs for families. Tax cuts for the middle class, affordable rent and home ownership, and growth by small businesses also top her list. She favors a return to Roe v. Wade on abortion.

Trump is favored on all seven of the RealClear sources to generate the betting average. Points Bet (57%) is strongest on the Republican, followed by Betsson (56%), Bwin (55%), Bovada (54%), Smarkets (53%), and Polymarket (52%) and Betfair (52%).

At the time of the first assassination attempt of Trump, he was running against Biden and his difference soared to plus-48.5 that July day. It was still over plus-42 a day before Biden quit and Harris assumed preferred candidate choice of Democrats.

The betting favorite changed to Harris on Aug. 8, went back to Trump on Aug. 21 as the Democratic National Convention closed though only for two days, came back to Trump again on Aug. 29, went back to Harris when they debated Sept. 10, and returned to Trump’s favor on Oct. 6.

In many states with early in-person voting, polls open this week.

In Endorsing Trump, Border Patrol Union Pushes Back Against Biden, Harris Claims

The National Border Patrol Council, the union representing roughly 16,000 Border Patrol agents nationwide, endorsed former President Donald Trump for president while criticizing President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris.

On Monday, the union issued a statement, saying, “On behalf of the 16,000 men and women represented by the National Border Patrol Council, we strongly support and endorse Donald J. Trump for President of the United States.”

They did so after endorsing Trump at a Prescott, Ariz., rally on Sunday where Trump was joined by many Border Patrol leaders.

"If we allow border czar Harris to win this election, every city, every community in this great country is going to go to hell. The untold millions of people unvetted, who she has allowed into this country that are committing murders, rapes, robberies, burglaries and every other crime will continue to put our country in peril,” NBPC’s new president, Paul Perez, said.

"Only one man can fix that. That is Donald J. Trump. He has always stood with the men and women who protect this border, who put their lives on the line for the country."

The union also said border experts want Trump to be president “so that the border can be secured without compromise. Only the drug cartels and Democrats want an open border – that’s what Border Czar Harris has given them and will continue to do in the future.”

The union’s leaders for the last nearly four years have joined Trump at border events in Texas and Arizona. After Trump announced he was running for reelection, the NBPC’s former president, Brandon Judd, endorsed him and joined him at campaign events.

The NBPC has repeatedly criticized the border policies of Biden and Harris, arguing they created the border crisis. The union has also repeatedly fact checked claims they’ve made, including refuting that it had ever endorsed Biden for president.

Prior to dropping out of the presidential race, during the June presidential debate, Biden claimed, “the Border Patrol union endorsed me, endorsed my position.”

In response, the union posted a statement on X, saying, “To be clear, we never have and never will endorse Biden.”

During the Sept. 10 presidential debate between Harris and Trump, Harris made comments related to “the importance of sovereignty and territorial integrity,” which the union criticized. “She apparently only cares about other countries' sovereignty b/c when it comes to America, she and President Biden opened up the border, erasing any semblance of sovereignty,” it said.

After Harris made claims about her border policies at a campaign event in Douglas, Ariz., the union said, “VP Harris claimed that she played a role in increasing Border Patrol Agent overtime pay. This couldn't be further from the truth. As with all things border related she was no where to be found when we needed her.”

In response to Harris claiming that Border Patrol agents needed more resources, the union said, “We have apprehended over 8 million illegal immigrants over the last 4 years and now you realize we need more help 38 days before the election.

“Vice president Harris has ignored the border problem she created for over three years. She goes down there for 20 minutes for a photo op and decides to repeat some of the things the NPBC has said before. But again, where has she been the last 3 1/2 years?”

During the debate and at campaign rallies, Harris has repeatedly claimed she would sign a Senate border bill into law, which she says allocated funding to hire 1,500 Border Patrol agents. She and others claim Trump killed the bill.

On Sunday, Trump vowed to immediately ask Congress for funds to hire an additional 10,000 Border Patrol employees, give existing agents a 10% raise, and create a $10,000 retention and signing bonus, if elected president.

“I will always stand with the incredible men and women of Border Patrol,” he said. “They have a tremendous shortage because they haven’t been treated right. They want to do their jobs. You know, they consider it bad treatment when you’re not allowed to do your jobs.”

The Senate border bill does the opposite of what Harris and other proponents claim, according to the bill language, including allowing an unlimited number of illegal foreign nationals into the country due to numerous exceptions. The bill would codify existing policies created by DHS Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas for which he was impeached in February, which Republicans argue is facilitating the ongoing crisis.

Texas officials also argued the bill would codify mass migration and nullify state sovereignty.

U.S. Senate Democrats and Independents ultimately didn’t support it; Senate Democratic leadership never brought it to a vote.

U.S. Senate Democrats have also sought to distance themselves from Biden-Harris border policies as local communities grapple with increased crime and social services costs associated with illegal border crossers. Senate leadership also refused to consider a border bill passed by the U.S. House.

Despite Harris’ recent campaign claims, while a U.S. senator, she sought to reduce funding and staff of federal border agencies, including seeking to eliminate U.S. Customs and Immigration Enforcement, the agency responsible for removing some of the most dangerous criminals.

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Poll: Majority of Voters Favor a Federal Ban on Transgender Procedures For Minors

Most registered voters, 59%, support a federal ban on transgender procedures such as puberty blockers and gender reassignment surgeries for minors, a new national poll found.

The strongest support for a federal ban came from registered Republicans (82%), while the lowest amount of support for it came from registered Democrats (36%). Independents polled offered majority support for a ban, with 56% in favor.

The Center Square Voters’ Voice Poll was conducted by Noble Predictive Insights between Oct.2-4 and surveyed 2,560 registered voters. The margin of error for the aggregate sample was ±2.1%.

According to the poll, although both sexes favored a federal ban on transgender procedures for minors, men were more likely to favor it, with 63% in favor compared to 56% for women. Among the ethnicities polled, “others” favored a ban the most at 63% compared to 61% for Whites. Of Black registered voters polled, 46% favored a ban, while 32% were opposed and 22% were not sure.

Among age demographics, the categories most in favor of a federal ban were 45-54 and 54-65, both of which polled at 61%, while 18-34 were the least in favor, albeit still at a 52% majority of them still supporting banning the procedures for minors.

Although voters with and without college degrees both favored a federal ban by more than 50%, those without degrees favored it more at 61%, while 55% of voters with a college degree supported a ban.

Voters with children supported a ban more than those without, at 61% to 52% respectively.

Geographically, rural voters favored a ban more than suburban or urban voters, at 64% compared to 57% and 58% respectively.

Regionally, the Northeast was least supportive of a federal ban, with 51% in favor. The South was the most supportive at 61%, while the Midwest favored it at 60%. Voters in the West favored a ban by 59%.

Transgender procedures on minors are now banned in 25 states, including states such as Ohio which, according to data from the nonprofit Do No Harm, was one of the top in the nation for procedures and procedures per capita. According to Do No Harm’s data, released last week, at least 13,994 transgender procedures were performed on minors across the U.S. between 2019-2023, The Center Square reported.

Do No Harm is a nonprofit group of physicians and other medical professionals that gets its name from the Hippocratic oath: "First, do no harm." According to its website, Do No Harm is "fighting to curtail the unscientific and individually harmful practice of so-called 'gender affirming care'" for children.

In an email to The Center Square, David Byler with Noble Predictive Insights, wrote that "on many issues surrounding trans rights and students or youth, the GOP has public opinion on their side. There’s a reason that, when you look at GOP ads, they are constantly hammering this and other related issues. And some prominent Democrats are pushing out moderate, rather than left, messages."

He added that "Republicans know that trans issues are a strong social issue for them – and after getting hit hard on abortion so many times since Dobbs, they want to make sure they’re pushing back and finding social issues that work for them."

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Wisconsin Sales Tax Collections Up 2.1% in First Quarter of Fiscal Year

(The Center Square) – Wisconsin saw a 2.1% increase in its general sales and use tax collections in the first quarter of the new fiscal year in numbers released Thursday.

The state collected more than $1.32 billion after collecting $1.29 billion during the same period last year. The numbers represent collections from July through September.

Overall, the state collected an adjusted amount of $4.15 billion in general purpose revenue during the first quarter, up from $3.97 billion in the first quarter of last fiscal year.

Wisconsin collected $21.3 billion last fiscal year, ending in June, after collecting nearly $21 billion the year before.

The numbers represent a continuation of a trend of slowed growth in sales tax revenue for the state in the post-COVID timeframe.

The state collected $2.73 billion in state sales taxes over the first five months of 2024, a 0.4% increase over the $2.72 billion in the same five months the year before, according to Wisconsin Policy Forum.

“The retail sector contributes the largest amount in sales tax revenues by far,” the group said in July. “In calendar year 2023, Wisconsin reported a total of $7.22 billion in sales tax revenues; $3.47 billion of that – or 48.0% – came from retail. Consequently, even though growth in the retail sector was limited (0.6%), that growth accounts for almost the entirety of sales tax revenue growth in Wisconsin during the first five months of 2024.”

Corporate taxes were up 2.8% year over year for the first quarter of the new fiscal year while excise tax was down 2.7% and individual income tax collections were up an adjusted 6.7%.

Milwaukee Schools Sued by Group, Parents Over Lack of School Resource Officers

(The Center Square) – The Wisconsin Institute for Law & Liberty filed a lawsuit for several parents of students against the Milwaukee Public School District for failing to provide the required 25 school resource officers in its schools.

Wisconsin’s Act 12 requires MPS to have 25 SROs in place by Jan. 1, 2024, during normal school hours.

“I think MPS needs to take their input from the parents and put those safety resource officers in the school,” MPS parent Charlene Abughrin said in a statement. “Otherwise, it’s just reckless and dangerous behavior left unchecked. No discipline, no consequences. What are we teaching our kids?”

The WILL lawsuit cited several times this year when the SRO requirement was publicly discussed at board meetings or by district leadership, which acknowledged the requirement has not been met.

“The actions and inactions of the board and the statements of these board directors all make clear they are aware of their plain duty under state law, but are deliberately not complying with, the requirements of Act 12,” the lawsuit says.

Wisconsin will be sending an estimated $174 million to communities in 2025 for Act 12 personal property aid.

“Failing to provide SROs has left students vulnerable and has forced Milwaukee police officers—through 9-1-1 calls—to pick up the slack when schools need assistance,” WILL Associate Counsel Lauren Greuel said in a statement. “MPS’ failure to follow this law harms the entirety of Milwaukee by not only disregarding the safety of students but also by draining the resources of MPD that are needed elsewhere.”

Seattle Children’s Hospital Among Top in Nation For Gender Reassignment Procedures

Washington state is among the 10 states in the nation where gender reassignment procedures performed on minors occur the most, according to data from Do No Harm, while Seattle’s Children’s Hospital was listed among the top hospitals in the nation.

Do No Harm is a nonprofit group of physicians and other medical professionals that gets its name from the Hippocratic oath: "First, do no harm." According to its website, Do No Harm is "fighting to curtail the unscientific and individually harmful practice of so-called 'gender affirming care'" for children.

The group’s database shows that from 2019-2023, in Washington state there were 772 puberty or hormone blockers patients and 330 gender reassignment surgery patients age 17 and younger, making it third in the nation for total state patients for gender reassignment treatment on minors.

According to the 2020 U.S. Census, there were 1.68 million Washington residents under the age of 18, putting the rate of gender reassignment at one per 1,564 minor residents.

Do No Harm defines puberty blockers as “synthetic hormones which are used to postpone puberty in children” and gender reassignment surgery as “a cosmetic medical procedure meant to alter a person’s appearance to look like or mimic the opposite sex; these procedures cannot change a person’s sex. Types of sex reassignment surgeries include procedures such as ‘top surgery,’ ‘bottom surgery,’ and facial feminization/masculinization surgeries.”

According to the nonprofit’s database, the number of patients for both puberty blockers and surgeries increased from 2019 to 2022, but fell dramatically in 2023; however, both remained at levels above 2019.

The most prominent medical location for gender reassignment treatment was Seattle’s Children’s Hospital, which between 2019-2023 had a total of 246 hormone puberty blocker patients and 50 surgery patients. A total of $1.4 million was billed for these services, though this data does not include patients who paid partially or fully out of pocket.

Seattle Children’s Hospital has a gender clinic and describes itself as “the only pediatric academic medical center with fellowship-trained plastic surgeons who provide gender-affirming surgery in our region," though genital surgeries are restricted to those 18 or older.

"For other surgeries, timing depends on many factors, like the patient’s stage of puberty and how surgery fits with the rest of their gender-related healthcare,” the website states. “A typical age is mid-teens or older."

According to its website, they accept new patients ages 9 to 17.75 “at the time of referral who have already started puberty,” while those 17.75 or older and patients who have not yet started puberty are “directed to community resources.” Parental or guardian consent is required for treatments unless the patient is an emancipated minor.

The gender clinic also partners with the hospital’s autism center “to coordinate care for children and teens with autism and related social challenges.”

Earlier this year, doctors from Seattle Children’s Hospital released a paper arguing that “withholding GAC (gender affirming care) is harmful to children and amounts to state-sanctioned medical neglect and emotional abuse.”

Also earlier this year, Seatle Children’s Hospital reached a settlement with Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton after his office sought to obtain medical records from the hospital under the suspicion it was providing gender reassignment services to minors traveling from Texas, where those services are prohibited. As part of the settlement, the hospital withdrew its business license from Texas.

The Family Policy Institute of Washington is a religious organization that "serve as the bridge between culture and government – interfacing with churches, pastors, government leaders, and media to articulate a clear vision for healthy families in our state."

CEO and President Brian Noble told The Center Square that the number of gender reassignment procedures "are actually lower than I thought they would be," but also said "one of the things that I believe that is causing great anxiety within our young people is to remove the foundation of the scientific evidence of who they are. It’s not surprising to me that the Covid lockdown produced the harvest of certain people questioning their gender.”

He added that “this report is about minors. We’re talking about nonadults who can’t even drink a beer or get a tattoo making these decisions.”

Seattle Children's Hospital did not respond to request for comment on Do No Harm's data or its nationwide ranking.

The State Attorney General's Office also did not respond to request for comment on the effects of gender reassignment procedures on youth mental health; the AGO recently filed a lawsuit against TikTok claiming that it is harmful to youth mental health.

Eric Hovde Proposes Putting Social Security Into Trust

(The Center Square) – Wisconsin Republican Senate candidate Eric Hovde said in a 2012 interview that he was in favor of raising the retirement age for Social Security, something that is the focus of a new political ad from incumbent Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin.

Hovde clarified his thoughts to the Milwaukee Press Club and on social media this week with a statement saying that his proposal won’t impact those nearing retirement or currently receiving Social Security.

Instead, his proposal applies only to those under the age of 40 because the Congressional Budget Office predicts that Social Security will have negative cash flow by 2033.

“If we don’t act now, Social Security will no longer be able to pay out full benefits,” Hovde wrote.

Hovde added he has never proposed to cut Social Security either, instead proposing to put Social Security in a trust so it cannot be used for other government spending.

“This should have happened from its beginning,” Hovde wrote. “For decades, Congress has treated Social Security like a piggy bank, pulling from it to fund their pet projects. This has to stop.”

Baldwin and Hovde have a scheduled debate at 7 p.m. on Oct. 18 in Madison.

Hovde spent plenty of time Tuesday discussing national debt and ending overspending by the federal government.

He did, however, say that he is for spending federal funds to replace lead pipes, a topic that President Joe Biden was in Milwaukee discussing on Tuesday. Biden announce the Environmental Protection Agency is supplying $2.6 billion to replace lead lines.

“Reality of it is, there’s not a lot of lead pipes anymore because typically a pipe will erode over a particular amount of time and they replace them,” Hovde said. “So I think it’s making … trying to act like it’s a bigger issue.

“The amount of lead pipes in this country are very small, but I think we should get rid of all of them.”

The Wisconsin Policy Forum wrote in 2023 that there are more than 150,000 lead service lines in Wisconsin, affecting at least 92 communities in the state. The group said that 37,000 lead lines were replaced or turned off between 2018 and 2023.

Wisconsin Estimates $1.56B in Shared Revenue to Communities in 2025

(The Center Square) – Wisconsin will send an estimated $1.56 billion to local governments in shared revenue in 2025.

That total includes $770 million for county and municipal aid, $281 million for supplemental county and municipal aid, nearly $174 million for Act 12 personal property aid, $98 million for exempt computer aid, $97 million for utility aid, nearly $76 million for personal property aid on locally assessed machinery and tools, $58 million in expenditure restraint incentive program aid and $10 million in video service cable provider aid.

The estimates include a $23.6 million increase in county and municipal aid based on last year’s sales tax collections.

“I’m excited to see how the results of our historic shared revenue increases are going to help support communities and families across Wisconsin,” Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers said. “We’re helping make sure our local communities can meet basic and unique needs alike, including investing in fire and emergency services, fixing local roads, expanding affordable housing and transportation, ensuring kids and families have clean and safe water and parks, supporting local public health and libraries—whatever those needs may be.”

The shared funds are mainly general, unrestricted aids that can be used for any activity approved by the local government.

The supplemental county and municipal aid cannot be used for administrative services and must be used for law enforcement, fire protection, emergency medical services, emergency response communications, public works, courts and transportation.

The Act 12 funds start in 2025 and are meant to compensate local governments for manufacturing personal property becoming tax exempt.

Voters Focus on Inflation, Immigration, Economy Ahead of Presidential Election

Former President Donald Trump holds a slight edge over rival Vice President Kamala Harris when it comes to the issues voters are most concerned about: inflation and illegal immigration.

That's according to the results of The Center Square's Voters' Voice Poll, conducted in conjunction with Noble Predictive Insights, and released Wednesday. The poll is one of only six national tracking polls in the United States.

Harris is gaining ground on Trump on the third top issue: the economy and job, thought Trump still holds the trust advantage among voters.

Likely voters are more concerned about inflation (47%) and illegal immigration (40%) than the economy (32%). Other top issues for voters were abortion rights (26%), crime (22%), climate change (18%), healthcare access (18%), government corruption (16%) and national debt and government spending (14%).

David Byler, of Noble Predictive Insights, said Harris has largely gotten a pass on inflation, an issue voters associated more closely with President Joe Biden.

"What you see now is a much tighter race between Harris and Trump than it ever was between [Trump] and Biden," he said. "Biden was largely blamed for rising prices and for rising inflation."

Despite being the vice president during Biden's term, when inflation spiked to a 40-year high, voters are more optimistic about Harris, Byler said.

"Bottom line was that voters aren't holding Harris quite as responsible for inflation as they held Biden, and this is one of her big points of improvement over Biden as a candidate," he said. "[Harris] is improving on Biden's numbers against Trump on economic issues like inflation and like taxes, and that's a big explainer for why she's got the Democratic base back and why this has gone from Trump winning the popular vote to Harris narrowly leading."

After the U.S. Supreme Court sent the abortion issues back to the states with the Dobbs decision, Republicans lost some interest in the abortion issue, at least compared to other priorities, Byler said.

"So immigration is really one of the key salient social issues with an economic angle to it as well," he said.

Trump has made illegal immigration a top priority for his campaign as he seeks a second term in the White House. He has called Harris' border policies soft and blamed her for an influx of people from other countries, more than 14 million since Biden-Harris took office, The Center Square reported. Trump has also promised tough border policies and mass deportations.

Trump never succeeded on mass deportations during his first term. On both issues, Congress will have its say, which could blunt or block Trump's policies if the former president is re-elected, depending on who controls the U.S. House and Senate.

Illegal immigration has gotten more attention as border states such as Arizona and Texas have sent busloads of migrants to cities around the country. Texas has bused more than 102,000 migrants to sanctuary cities including New York, Chicago and Denver, among others.

Harris opposed many border security measures Trump implemented, including building a border wall. As "border czar" under Biden, and as the administration reversed many of Trump's security measures, Harris has overseen a massive surge in illegal immigration.

Total illegal border crossings surpassed 14 million from the beginning of their term through September, by far a record compared to any other administration, The Center Square reported. Since replacing Biden at the top of the ticket, Harris now says those who illegally cross the border should face "consequences." She now also says she supports building a border wall, a reversal from her past position.

Noble Predictive Insights conducted the poll from Oct 2-4, 2024. The sample included 2,560 respondents comprised of 1,135 Republicans, 1,162 Democrats, and 263 True Independents (Independents who, when asked if they leaned toward one of the major parties, chose neither). Of the full sample of registered voters, 2,290 were qualified as “likely voters.”

The poll weighted each party – Republicans, Democrats, and True Independents – independently. Additional weighting variables include age, region, gender, education, and race/ethnicity.

The margin of error was +/- 1.9% for registered voters and +/-2.1% for likely voters.

Trump Confirms: No More Debates

Former President Donald Trump said late Wednesday that he would not debate Vice President Kamala Harris amid speculation that the two could have one last faceoff before Election Day on Nov. 5.

Trump's comments come the same day that Fox News invited both candidates to debate at the end of this month, just days before voters head to the polls, though much early voting is already underway.

"This would present an opportunity for each candidate to make his or her closing arguments," Fox News Media President and Executive Editor Jay Wallace and Vice President of Politics Jessica Loker wrote in a letter to both campaigns.

Harris had previously publicly said she wanted to debate Trump on CNN, and Trump said that he had previously attempted to have a Fox News debate with Harris. Now, neither will happen.

“I won the last two debates, one with Crooked Joe, the other with Lyin’ Kamala,” Trump wrote in all capital letters online. “I accepted the Fox-News invitation to debate Kamala on September 4th, but she turned it down.”

The news comes as The Center Square Voters' Voice poll released this week shows that Harris holds a slight lead over Trump nationally, 49% to 47% with likely voters.

However, that same poll shows Trump making inroads with Black and Hispanic voters.

Because the race is so tight, it will likely be decided by a handful of swing states.

According to Real Clear Politics’ polling, Trump is leading in the swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, but his narrow leads are within the margin of error for most polls.

Harris has a slight lead in Wisconsin and Nevada, also within the margin of error, making the race a toss-up.

Trump touted his running mate’s debate earlier this month, where U.S. Sen. J.D. Vance, R-Ohio, faced off against Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz.

“J.D. Vance easily won his debate with ... Tim Walz, who called himself a knucklehead!” Trump said. “I am also leading in the polls, with the lead getting bigger by the day - and leading in all swing states. The first thing a prizefighter does when he loses a fight is say that he ‘demands a rematch.’ It is very late in the process, voting has already begun - there will be no rematch! Besides, Kamala stated clearly, yesterday, that she would not do anything different than Joe Biden, so there is nothing to debate.”

The debates have covered a range of issues from immigration to abortion to foreign relations to housing and more.

Notably, energy issues have received less attention in these debates, despite polling showing voters consider costs and energy an important issue.

A Morning Consult/API poll obtained first by The Center Square showed the majority of Americans want to hear more from the candidates on energy issues.

“Americans overwhelmingly want a candidate who will stop the war on American energy as energy costs have soared nearly 30 percent and families have lost more than $4,691 since Harris and Biden took office,” Trump Campaign National Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt told The Center Square.

“If Kamala becomes president, prices would spike even higher – she was a proud supporter of the Green New Scam and has promised to ban fracking and kill good paying energy jobs in Pennsylvania and across the heartland,” Leavitt added. “President Trump is the only candidate who will make America energy dominant again, protect our energy jobs, and bring down the cost of living for working families."

While Harris in the past has said she supported banning fracking, since she has become the Democratic presidential nominee, she says she no longer supports such a ban.

Food Prices Jump, Inflation Rises Faster Than Expected

Newly released federal inflation data shows that prices rose faster than expected last month, putting more pressure on Americans’ budgets.

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday released its Consumer Price Index, a key marker of inflation, which showed that CPI rose 0.2% in September.

While inflation rose more than expected last month, the year-over-year inflation of 2.4% in this latest data is much lower than the major spike in inflation in recent years.

The data comes after the U.S. Federal Reserve announced an interest rate cut last month, a sign that the Fed believes inflation is under control enough to lower rates, and thereby boost the economy.

“Disinflation continues, but anyone who thought the Fed was going to lower rates by another .50 basis points in November is dead wrong,” Jamie Cox, managing partner at Harris Financial Group in Richmond, said in a statement. “When interest rates aren’t high enough to lower growth, they aren’t high enough to stifle inflation completely either. The Fed will lower rates, but at a measured pace from here.”

Much of the increase was driven by an increase in rent costs.

The data also showed a jump in food prices of 0.4%, the biggest increase since January of this year.

“Five of the six major grocery store food group indexes increased over the month,” BLS said. “The index for meats, poultry, fish, and eggs rose 0.8 percent in September as the index for eggs increased 8.4 percent. The fruits and vegetables index increased 0.9 percent over the month, following a 0.2-percent decline in August. The index for other food at home rose 0.2 percent in September and the index for cereals and bakery products increased 0.3 percent. The dairy and related products index increased 0.1 percent over the month, while the nonalcoholic beverages index was unchanged in September.”

Eating out became 3.9% more expensive in the last year.

Meanwhile, experts say the deadly hurricanes hitting the U.S. right now are impacting the job market.

“Initial jobless claims jumped to 258,000 in the week ending October 5, above the 230,000 consensus forecast or Comerica’s forecast of 250,000,” Bill Adams, Chief Economist for Comerica Bank “This is the first claims report showing the impact of Hurricane Helene, which made landfall on September 26.”

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25 Governors Demand Answers On How Many Migrants Flown to States

(The Center Square) – Twenty-five Republican governors want to know how many illegal foreign nationals have been flown into their states by a Biden-Harris administration plan they argue is burdening their residents and creating an unsafe environment.

Those being flown in have arrived through more than a dozen parole programs created by U.S. Department of Homeland Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas. The governors only inquired about one: the CHNV parole program, created to fast track previously inadmissible citizens of Cuba, Honduras, Nicaragua and Venezuela moving into the country.

According to the latest U.S. Customs and Border Protection data, 530,000 CHNV parolees were released into the country in the past year, in addition to 813,000 foreign nationals processed into the country from all over the world through a CBP One app. Attorneys general from multiple states sued to stop them, arguing they are illegal. The U.S. House impeached Mayorkas for them and other actions they argue created the border crisis.

The 1.3 million inadmissables released into the country are among nearly 14 million illegal border crossers reported since fiscal 2021, the greatest number under any administration in U.S. history.

In a letter to President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris, the 25 governors described how the CHNV parole program negatively impacted their communities and expressed bewilderment over no communication provided about their “arrival times, duration of residency, legal status, and location.”

The influx and lack of communication “has created considerable confusion and alarm among local officials and the general public. In the absence of direction from DHS, law enforcement and municipal leaders have often been left to rely upon news reports and social media posts to determine size and location of incoming migrant populations in order to assess what impact they may have on already limited government services including local public schools,” they said.

“The apparent dumping of migrants into our cities and small towns with no advance notice has not only sowed mistrust and fear among the public, but it has also placed the migrants themselves at potential of physical harm. After being met with understandable skepticism from the communities in which they are now living, migrants have become fearful to interact with the public. This isolation has created a ripe environment for their exploitation and abuse.”

The governors requested the information they said to best protect illegal foreign nationals who might be targeted for abuse by cartel operatives or are already victims of human smuggling and trafficking, and to protect their citizens.

“Without information about the migrants’ sponsors or the location and employment status of migrants, state and local law enforcement are extremely limited in their abilities to investigate potential exploitation of migrants and the possibility of their victimization from human trafficking,” they said.

“As chief executives of our states directly responsible for the safety of our citizens and those who reside within our borders,” they said, they are demanding “a full accounting from the Biden-Harris Administration and DHS.” They requested information about the location of each parolee in their state, the vetting process conducted for each parolee, the name and location for each sponsor granted guardianship of parolees, and the system in place to monitor them.

The request came after the DHS Office of Inspector General issued multiple reports detailing the administration’s repeated failure to vet them and inability to monitor them after their release. The OIG also expressed alarm that federal agencies were flying illegal foreign nationals on domestic flights who hadn’t been properly vetted and have no identification. It also came after U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, demanded answers about how many were being flown and housed in airports, raising concerns about terrorist threats.

An unknown number of illegal foreign nationals arriving in their states “potentially in need of state and local services” was done “without our consent, any advance notice or resources,” the governors said. “Accordingly, we request your administration furnish our states complete information about the location and status of migrants being directed to our communities.”

Those demanding answers include Govs. Kay Ivey (AL), Mike Dunleavy (AK), Sarah Sanders (AR), Ron DeSantis (FL), Brian Kemp (GA), Brad Little (ID), Eric Holcomb (IN), Kim Reynolds (IA), Jeff Landry (LA), Tate Reeves (MS), Mike Parson (MO), Greg Gianforte (MT), Jim Pillen (NE), Joe Lombardo (NV), Chris Sununu (NH), Doug Burgum (ND), Kevin Stitt (OK), Henry McMaster (SC), Kristi Noem (SD), Bill Lee (TN), Greg Abbott (TX), Spencer Cox (UT), Glenn Youngkin (VA), Jim Justice (WV), and Mark Gordon (WY).

Afghan Released Into US by Biden Administration Arrested for Plotting Election Day Terror Attack

An Afghan citizen released into the U.S. less than 10 days after the Biden-Harris deadly withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan was arrested for plotting an Election Day terrorist attack on American soil.

The U.S. Department of Justice on Tuesday announced charges were brought against 27-year-old Afghan national Nasir Ahmad Tawhedi, residing in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, for conspiring to conduct an Election Day terrorist attack on behalf of the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS), a designated foreign terrorist organization (FTO).

His co-conspirator, a juvenile and Tawhedi’s wife’s brother, was also charged. The brother, an Afghan national with legal permanent resident status, was residing in Moore, Oklahoma.

The charges are “providing, attempting to provide, and conspiracy to provide material support and resources to a designated foreign terrorist organization; Knowingly receiving, conspiring to receive, and attempting to receive firearms and ammunition to be used to commit a felony or Federal crime of terrorism,” according to the criminal complaint.

Tawhedi allegedly conspired and attempted to provide material support to ISIS by attempting to acquire AK-47 assault rifles and ammunition to commit a terrorist attack on U.S. soil in the name of ISIS. He also allegedly planned and took steps to liquidate his family’s assets and resettle family members overseas on Oct. 17, the complaint states.

The DOJ “foiled the defendant’s plot to acquire semi-automatic weapons and commit a violent attack in the name of ISIS on U.S. soil on Election Day,” Attorney General Merrick Garland said. “We will continue to combat the ongoing threat that ISIS and its supporters pose to America’s national security, and we will identify, investigate, and prosecute the individuals who seek to terrorize the American people.”

“This defendant, motivated by ISIS, allegedly conspired to commit a violent attack, on Election Day, here on our homeland," said FBI Director Christopher Wray, after warning about heightened Islamic terrorist attacks.

The complaint states that from between August 2024 and Oct. 7, the two Afghan nationals “entered into a conspiracy to knowingly receive, attempt to receive, and received a firearm to be used to commit a felony or a federal crime of terrorism.”

It cites examples of their “pro-ISIS ideology,” including a July 20 video recording of Tawhedi reading an Islamic text to his daughter and his wife’s nephew about Islamic martyrs, saying, “martyrs will be exempted from the sufferings of the grave, placed in heaven, get married to 72 virgins, and receive the crown full of jewels,” the complaint states.

After search warrants were issued, FBI investigators discovered that Tawhedi allegedly accessed, viewed, and saved ISIS propaganda on iCloud and in Google accounts, participated in pro-ISIS Telegram groups, and donated over $500 to a Syria-based charity that funnels money to ISIS.

They also found images Tawhedi allegedly stored electronically related to terrorism, including of a suicide vest, killing infidels, the 9/11 terrorist attack, ISIS leaders, the US Capitol with an ISIS flag flying above it, among others. His brother-in-law was also mentioned in at least five pro-ISIS Telegram groups, according to the complaint.

One Telegram message thread states Tawhedi sold the family’s Oklahoma home, will receive the money by Oct. 15 and, “After that we will begin our duty, God willing, with the help of God, we will get ready for the Election Day.”

When liquidating his assets, he and his co-conspirator allegedly advertised selling personal property on Facebook. An FBI confidential source responded to one ad inquiring about purchasing a computer and also claimed to have a firearms business. The two Afghan nationals subsequently agreed to meet on Oct. 7 in a rural location. Tawhedi then allegedly purchased and received two AK-47 assault rifles, ten magazines, and 500 rounds of ammunition, and was subsequently arrested, the complaint states.

After his arrest, Tawhedi confirmed he and his co-conspirator planned to commit a suicide attack on Election Day to kill a large number of people, according to the complaint.

In response, U.S. House Committee on Homeland Security Chairman Mark Green, R-TN, and Subcommittee on Counterterrorism, Law Enforcement, and Intelligence Chairman August Pfluger, R-TX, blamed the Biden-Harris “Operation Allies Welcome” policy. Through it, 77,000 Afghans were released into the country who weren’t properly vetted, according to an Inspector General report.

“When tens of thousands of insufficiently vetted individuals are let into the interior, this is the inevitable result,” they said. “This Committee has repeatedly warned of the terror threats stemming from the Biden-Harris administration's failed leadership and disastrous border security policies.

“Unfortunately, our calls for transparency regarding the inadequate vetting and screening following the catastrophic withdrawal from Afghanistan continue to go unanswered – and, here, Americans almost paid the price. We appreciate the efforts of law enforcement in thwarting this alleged terror plot on Election Day, but President Biden and Vice President Harris must reverse course on their misguided policies and put the safety and security of the American people first.”

Biden Praises DeSantis’ Preparation for Hurricane Milton

President Joe Biden on Tuesday praised Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis for his efforts to get the state ready for a strike in the Tampa Bay area by Hurricane Milton.

"The governor of Florida says he's gotten all that he needs," Biden said. "I talked again to him yesterday and I said no, you're doing a great job, we thank you for it and I literally gave my personal phone number to call.

"There was a rough start in some places, but every governor from Florida to North Carolina has been fully cooperative and supportive and acknowledged what this team is doing and they're doing an incredible job, but we've got a lot more to do."

The praise from Biden comes as DeSantis and Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic nominee, continue to be at odds. Harris called him "selfish" for not taking her calls and DeSantis shot back, saying she was trying to "parachute" her way into storm recovery and relief efforts.

Biden also said in a briefing at the White House that his administration would help "communities before, during and after these extreme weather events."

The federal government's response to Helene has been under fire from former President Donald Trump, the 2024 Republican nominee.

"They’re offering $750 to people whose homes have been washed away, and yet we send tens of billions of dollars to foreign countries that most people have never heard of," Trump said at his Butler, Pa. rally Saturday.

His comment was without context. The Biden administration has confirmed more than $137 million in assistance with more expected, and North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper said more than $33 million in FEMA assistances to individuals had already been paid to more than 109,000 people. More than 2,100 are housed in hotels through FEMA transitional sheltering.

Hurricane Milton, likely one of the worst storms in 100 years in Tampa, is predicted to make landfall late Wednesday or early Thursday morning as a Category 3 storm packing winds of 120 mph.

It'll be the second storm in as many weeks to hit the state and DeSantis urged Floridians in a news conference in Ocala on Tuesday to not lose faith in the state's ability to bounce back.

"It's not easy," he said. "I know people have been working around the clock, not just with state government, but our local counties and cities and then all the other partners that participate in this. But people are pushing forward. They're stepping up. I know some of our residents that just experienced hurricane damage from Helene are also fatigued. Just hang in there and do the right thing. Just let's get through this. We can do it together.

"And then on the other side of it, make sure everybody's safe and and we'll put the pieces back together. The state is strong, we're going to be able to weather it. Not going to be easy. We're going to suffer damage."

The storm surge in Tampa Bay, which hasn't been hit directly by a hurricane since 1921, could be as high as 15 feet. That's triple what the area experienced with Hurricane Helene, which passed offshore on Sept. 23 before making landfall in the Big Bend region of Florida.

Helene's biggest impact has been in western North Carolina and eastern Tennessee, where flash flooding destroyed communities and killed 230, including 84 in North Carolina.

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